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Garrett Chapman Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Leaderboard / Garrett Chapman

Garrett Chapman

Writes at Sports Illustrated

Every take from Garrett Chapman, including the ones still waiting →

Is Garrett Chapman accurate? Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Garrett Chapman scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 97, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

50%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article. 2 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Thinks Atlanta matches up well but still falls short, picking Carolina 23-20.Sep 20, 2026
- Carolina Panthers 23 — Falcons 20
  “It will be a tough one, but it feels gettable, and the Falcons really need it. Panthers 23, Falcons 20”
  Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+97 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  34-3
  skill:
  97
  they picked:
  CAR
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  50
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  1.94
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  31
  weeks left when called:
  17

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

naive home margin:

-0.52

predicted margin:

Think this grade is wrong?