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Garrett Chapman· Sep 20, 2026

Thinks Atlanta matches up well but still falls short, picking Carolina 23-20.

Panthers 23, Falcons 20

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

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The call scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Carolina Panthers 23 — Falcons 20

    It will be a tough one, but it feels gettable, and the Falcons really need it. Panthers 23, Falcons 20

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+97 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    97
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    -0.52
    predicted margin:
    3

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