Geoff Schwartz

Every take from Geoff Schwartz, including the ones still waiting →

Is Geoff Schwartz accurate? Across 4 graded calls in 2 articles, Geoff Schwartz scores 22.08% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -21.67, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

22.08%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-21.67

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

4

Graded calls

across 2 articles. 11 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

83.33% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 4

Jeff Schwartz agreed the Lions are a team he could back to go over 10.5 wins given their softer schedule, and suggested Seattle regresses to roughly a 10-7 season after losing offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak.2 graded calls · Feb 19, 2026
- Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
  “and the Lions do get a break this year of having that schedule that allows them to win games ... So I I could buy the Lions being over team.”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+15 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DET
  naive:
  11.75
  skill:
  15
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  45
  predicted:
  11

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

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Seattle Seahawks to finish with 10 wins

“it feels like a team that if they're Darnold's ten fifteen percent worse. The offense isn't as good. You lose a couple of guys in defensive free agency, and you're just not as good. Next season, that could be a ten and seven team.”

Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 5+15 skill

How this was scored

team:: SEA
naive:: 9.25
skill:: 15
what happened:: 14
season:: 2025
zero at:: 5
accuracy:: 20
baseline:: 5
predicted:: 10
difficulty:: 1
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 0

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Schwartz says he would likely pick the Bills to win the AFC this season, and agrees Jalen Hurts is the fifth-best quarterback in the league, giving him the slight edge over Jayden Daniels for now.2 graded calls · Jun 2, 2025

Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
“I would give Hurts probably the slight edge... But for right now, I think that's there's no problem putting Hurts five.”
Miss · 8Scored 8.33a naive guess scored 66.67-116.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-116.67
player:
Jalen Hurts
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
8.33
baseline:
66.67
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
20
actual finish:
16
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
5
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Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
“I mean I will probably pick the Bills to win the AFC, but again, like they have to do it, Jay Mac, they can't beat the Chiefs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
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