Ian Rapoport

Every take from Ian Rapoport, including the ones still waiting →

Is Ian Rapoport accurate? Across 6 graded calls in 5 articles, Ian Rapoport scores 97.07% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 91.36, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

97.07%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

91.36

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

6

Graded calls

across 5 articles. 13 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 6

Rapoport says Fernando Mendoza is widely believed to be the No. 1 overall pick, predicts Kyler Murray will be released by the Cardinals, suggests Breece Hall gets a transition tag rather than a franchise tag, expects the Colts to keep Daniel Jones (long-term deal or tag) with Alec Pierce then leaving as the top receiver in free agency, and forecasts a trade-heavy offseason.Feb 26, 2026
- Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
  “Obviously, Fernando Mendoza is I think everyone believes is gonna be the number one Yes, sir. Overall pick.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Fernando Mendoza
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  1
  difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

1

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

Think this grade is wrong?

Rapoport said he believes the Raiders will draft quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 overall pick, expects Miami to part ways with Tua Tagovailoa, thinks Malik Willis will have a strong market, and would be surprised if Kenneth Walker or Breece Hall received the franchise tag. He also predicted the Raiders' offensive line will play better with better coaching, that Mendoza likely won't throw at the combine, and that free agency will be trade-heavy.Feb 17, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“the Raiders do it at one overall? Is it Fernando Mendoza coming in?... It's it's draft for Nelme Doza, which I I do believe will happen.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Rapoport expects the Steelers to add another wide receiver this offseason, likely from a group of veteran free agents, and expects Dallas to sign Pickens to a long-term extension if he plays as they hope.May 7, 2025

George Pickens to move to Dallas Cowboys
“Dallas if Pickens is what they think, would have to lock them into a long term extension”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
George Pickens
season:
2025
claimed:
DAL
was with:
PIT
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
DAL
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Rapoport said Travis Hunter is likely the pick at No. 2 for the Browns, that Shedeur Sanders is in play at No. 3, and predicted Tetairoa McMillan would be the first receiver drafted. He also expected Brock Purdy's next deal to land around $50 million per year with Dak Prescott remaining the only quarterback above $60 million.2 graded calls · Apr 24, 2025

Tetairoa McMillan to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“I think I would be surprised if he's not receiver one.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 13.29+57.42 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 31 at random averages 13.29
skill:
57.42
player:
Tetairoa McMillan
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
13.29
position:
wide receiver
class size:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
“I think, but don't know, that Travis Hunter is probably the best guest to go there... right now, it's the Browns, and I would say likely, probably Browns.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Rapoport said the Vikings appear set to go forward with JJ McCarthy as their starting quarterback, with a veteran behind him, rather than signing Aaron Rodgers.Mar 13, 2025

J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
“it seems Tom that the direction the Vikings are going are JJ McCarthy and then maybe a veteran behind him rather than Aaron Rodgers for year, wait on JJ McCarthy and kind of proceed from there. As of right now, that seems to be the direction for the Vikings.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
MIN
skill:
16.67
player:
J.J. McCarthy
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?