Rapoport said he believes the Raiders will draft quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 overall pick, expects Miami to part ways with Tua Tagovailoa, thinks Malik Willis will have a strong market, and would be surprised if Kenneth Walker or Breece Hall received the franchise tag. He also predicted the Raiders' offensive line will play better with better coaching, that Mendoza likely won't throw at the combine, and that free agency will be trade-heavy.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas RaidersFeb 17, 2026

  Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

  “the Raiders do it at one overall? Is it Fernando Mendoza coming in?... It's it's draft for Nelme Doza, which I I do believe will happen.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  1

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Trade and Signing CallsTua TagovailoaMiami DolphinsFeb 17, 2026

  Tua Tagovailoa to move to Miami Dolphins

  “feels like Miami is probably parting ways with two of them”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?