Joel Klatt Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded | MissedTakes

Joel Klatt

Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

Every take from Joel Klatt, including the ones still waiting →

Is Joel Klatt accurate? Across 15 graded calls in 4 articles, Joel Klatt scores 92.77% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 63.64, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

92.77%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

63.64

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 4 articles. 3 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Against the grain

Teams and players where Joel Klatt keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Leonard Moore+100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet

Graded calls · 15

Klatt's mock has the Lions selecting Clemson offensive tackle Blake Miller at pick 17.Mar 20, 2026
- Blake Miller to be picked at number 17
  “Who did the oh, Joel Clatt with Fox Sports said Blake Miller, offensive tackle out of Clemson.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Blake Miller
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  17
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:

Klatt says Ohio State's Arvell Reese will be the first non-quarterback position player taken in the draft and a top-three selection, and that Ohio State will produce four first-round picks up the middle of its defense: Caleb Downs, Reese, Sonny Styles and Caden McDonald. He also calls Buckeyes receiver Carnell Tate a first-round pick.5 graded calls · Nov 28, 2025

Carnell Tate to be picked “first round draft pick” (picks 1–32)
“And Carnell is one of those guys. I think he's a first round draft pick”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round draft pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“You've got rvel Reese off the ball, on the ball, linebacker Sonny Styles, who's going to be a first round pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Cade McDonald to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“Caden McDonald is going to be a first round pick as well.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Cade McDonald
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Arvell Reese to be picked “top three” (picks 1–3)
“Uh through that is a top three FI right there. Easy”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
top three (picks 1–3)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)
“you got downs at safety? Who's the first rounder? All day long?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first rounder (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Klatt pushed back on Cowherd's mock, predicting Jeanty goes fifth to Jacksonville, Armand Mimbo won't get past the Bears (and isn't a top-ten pick), Will Johnson and Jihad Campbell slide over medicals, a Loveland trade-up would come from Denver, and the Giants take Abdul Carter at three. He also called Loveland his top tight end and Cam Ward the best quarterback in the class.6 graded calls · Apr 24, 2025

Colston Loveland to be 1st tight end off the board
“I love Colston Loveland. I have him as my top tight end in the draft.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 21.26+78.74 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 16 at random averages 21.26
skill:
78.74
player:
Colston Loveland
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
21.26
position:
tight end
class size:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Armand Membou to be picked at number 10
“Mimbo does not get past the Bears. There's no chance Mimbo is going to be a top ten pick... watch out for Mimbo. In the top ten”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Armand Membou
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
“I would be shocked if New York doesn't select him at three.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board
“Cam Ward is the best available quarterback this year... And yet this year he's going to be number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
skill:
75.8
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
24.2
position:
quarterback
class size:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11
“What about the Niners in Kelvin Banks... they need everything... I believe that they're gonna just take the best overall player”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Kelvin Banks Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5
“Genti's going five Jacksonville.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
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