Mike Florio
80.83%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
17.22
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
4
Graded calls
across 1 article. 2 more not yet settled.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 4
“I'll go with Devon Han who is my RB four.”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 83.33-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- De'Von Achane
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 9
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 4
“my tight end one in my rankings is Train McBride... if he has positive touchdown regression, he can he could one be the tight end one”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 66.67+66.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 66.67
- player:
- Trey McBride
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
“Florio's picks: CeeDee Lamb 4th, Malik Nabers 9th, A.J. Brown 14th, De'Von Achane 19th, Trey McBride 24th, TreVeyon Henderson 29th.”
Scored 55a naive guess scored 50+10 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 10
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 6
- accuracy:
- 55
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 3: 25, RB 2: 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“At some point Jackson Dart's taken over there.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Jaxson Dart
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18