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MissedTakes
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Mike Florio

80.83%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
17.22
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
4
Graded calls
across 1 article. 2 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 4

    • I'll go with Devon Han who is my RB four.

      Scored 75a naive guess scored 83.33-16.67 skill
      How this was scored
      skill:
      -16.67
      player:
      De'Von Achane
      season:
      2025
      zero at:
      12
      accuracy:
      75
      baseline:
      83.33
      position:
      RB
      ranked by:
      fantasy points
      difficulty:
      2
      naive basis:
      where he finished last season
      weeks in the season:
      18
      naive finish:
      9
      actual finish:
      7
      weeks left when called:
      18
      predicted finish:
      4

      Think this grade is wrong?

    • my tight end one in my rankings is Train McBride... if he has positive touchdown regression, he can he could one be the tight end one

      Scored 100a naive guess scored 66.67+66.67 skill
      How this was scored
      skill:
      66.67
      player:
      Trey McBride
      season:
      2025
      zero at:
      12
      accuracy:
      100
      baseline:
      66.67
      position:
      TE
      ranked by:
      fantasy points
      difficulty:
      2
      naive basis:
      where he finished last season
      weeks in the season:
      18
      naive finish:
      5
      actual finish:
      1
      weeks left when called:
      18
      predicted finish:
      1

      Think this grade is wrong?

    • Florio's picks: CeeDee Lamb 4th, Malik Nabers 9th, A.J. Brown 14th, De'Von Achane 19th, Trey McBride 24th, TreVeyon Henderson 29th.

      Scored 55a naive guess scored 50+10 skill
      How this was scored
      naive:
      a coin-flip ordering scores 50
      skill:
      10
      placed:
      5
      season:
      2025
      players:
      6
      accuracy:
      55
      baseline:
      50
      by position:
      WR 3: 25, RB 2: 100
      difficulty:
      2
      weeks in the season:
      18
      could not place:
      0
      weeks left when called:
      18

      Think this grade is wrong?

    • At some point Jackson Dart's taken over there.

      Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
      How this was scored
      club:
      NYG
      skill:
      16.67
      player:
      Jaxson Dart
      season:
      2025
      accuracy:
      100
      baseline:
      91.67
      position:
      QB
      naive slot:
      2
      actual slot:
      1
      difficulty:
      2
      measured by:
      passing yards
      naive basis:
      no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
      weeks in the season:
      18
      predicted slot:
      1
      weeks left when called:
      18

      Think this grade is wrong?

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.