Rich Eisen

Rich Eisen hosts The Rich Eisen Show, where he covers the NFL through power rankings, sleeper picks, and team previews. His predictions span game outcomes, playoff races, and player awards, with particular attention to quarterbacks like Sam Darnold and Kirk Cousins, and running backs heading into the season.

Writes at Overreaction Monday (podcast)

Every take from Rich Eisen, including the ones still waiting →

Is Rich Eisen accurate? Across 465 graded calls in 127 articles, Rich Eisen scores 60.79% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.35, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

60.79%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

20.35

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

465

Graded calls

across 127 articles. 309 more not yet settled.

97.08% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 465

17 of 128 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 11 of 13.

Eisen ranked the five quarterbacks under the most pressure in 2025, topped by Dak Prescott, and added the quarterbacks at MetLife Stadium as a bonus. He also predicted Justin Fields will be handed the Jets' starting job and that Dallas has a legitimate title shot.Jun 13, 2025
- Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
  “this is Justin Fields' opportunity. The Jets are could the Jets be the last team to basically say this is your gig? This is your team?”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  NYJ
  skill:
  16.67
  player:
  Justin Fields
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2

Eisen ran a top-five list of would-be pleasant surprises for the 2025 NFL season: Brian Schottenheimer succeeding as head coach/play caller, Sam Darnold improving on his Minnesota form in Seattle, the Jaguars playing Travis Hunter 100 snaps a game, Pete Carroll leading the Raiders to the playoffs, Tyler Shough becoming the real deal in New Orleans, plus a bonus of Shedeur Sanders making the Browns and crushing a start late in the year.5 graded calls · Jun 12, 2025

Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
“Pete Carroll takes Jay Feli's Raiders to the playoffs... And Pete leads the Raiders back to the playoffs in his first year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Shedeur Sanders to make the roster
“Chidor makes the browns and crushes a start.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
skill:
200
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
17
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart
“If you wanna talk about more likely than not, the Browns do start Flacco, maybe give Pickett a run.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
16.67
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
“Is that Sam Darnold could be replaced as the Seattle quarterback by week one because of all those seven on seven picks he's been throwing. I'm going the other way.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
SEA
skill:
0
player:
Sam Darnold
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart
“The number one would be pleasant surprise in the 2025 season is if Tyler Shuck becomes the real deal for the New Orleans Saints.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NO
skill:
16.67
player:
Tyler Shough
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:

Eisen predicted Cam Ward would go first overall and Travis Hunter second, that three Heisman finalists (Ward, Hunter, Jeanty) would land in the top five, and that Travis Hunter could sweep both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year. He also expected the Cowboys to draft a big-time offensive player and the Patriots to take a defender.5 graded calls · Apr 24, 2025

Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
winner:
Tetairoa McMillan
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
“because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
“If Ward Hunter and Gente go in the top five tonight... And I think that's gonna happen tonight. I think we're gonna see that tonight.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“because Cam Ward's going first, Travis Hunter's going second”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“see somebody for the first time ever win offensive rookie of the year and defensive rookie of the year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
winner:
Carson Schwesinger
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Eisen pushed back on the Bengals missing the playoffs again, insisted the Chiefs still win the AFC West over Denver, predicted Daniel Jones beats out Anthony Richardson to start Week 1 in Indianapolis, and expected Kirk Cousins to stay in Atlanta as the veteran backup to Michael Penix Jr.6 graded calls · Mar 17, 2025

Kirk Cousins to make the roster
“Midnight has not struck for Kirk Cousins in Atlanta... Do you feel like he's on the Falcons week one? ... I kinda do too.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
17
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“I'm high on the Broncos too, but that's still the Kansas City freaking Chiefs... But that's the Kansas City Chiefs you're talking about, pal. Overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think he's gonna win the job. And I think he's gonna be the first week starter.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
0
player:
Daniel Jones
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“The fact that Trey Hendrickson is not there does not guarantee that 2025 will go just like 2024... I can't sit there and say they start o and three and keep spinning their wheels... I'll call this an overreaction.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kirk Cousins to be 2nd on the depth chart
“What's best for the Atlanta Falcons is to make sure that Michael Pennicks junior has Kirk Cousins... in his quarterback room... So if Panix goes down, you know who goes in? Boom. Kirk Cousins.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
16.67
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Daniel Jones should beat him out... And if he struggles, then you bring in the kid.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 75+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
IND
skill:
16.67
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
75
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
4
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18

Rich Eisen Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 11 | MissedTakes