Ross Tucker Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take

Ross Tucker Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Tucker ranks all 32 NFL offensive lines entering the 2023 season in tiers, with the Eagles first and the Titans last. He also expects Cam Jurgens to start at right guard for Philadelphia, Halapoulivaati Vaitai to start at right guard for Detroit, Riley Reiff at right tackle in New England, rookie Juice Scruggs at center in Houston, rookie Broderick Jones at left tackle in Pittsburgh, Darnell Wright at right tackle in Chicago, Bryce Young to start at QB in Carolina, Colton McKivitz at right tackle in San Francisco, John Michael Schmitz at center for the Giants, and Sam Cosmi moving to right guard in Washington. He also thinks the Chargers could be viewed as an elite line by year's end.16 graded calls · Aug 1, 2023

Shaq Mason to be 1st on the depth chart
“they should get solid play out of Shaq Mason at right guard”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
HOU
skill:
0
player:
Shaq Mason
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
G
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Evan Neal to be 1st on the depth chart
“the expectation is Evan Neal will make an Andrew Thomas–like improvement at right tackle”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
-16.67
player:
Evan Neal
season:
2023
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Jawaan Taylor to be 1st on the depth chart
“right tackle Jawaan Taylor should be an upgrade over Andrew Wylie”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
KC
skill:
0
player:
Jawaan Taylor
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
T
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cam Jurgens to be 1st on the depth chart
“presumptive starter Cam Jurgens has only ever played center before, so that is something to watch”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
-16.67
player:
Cam Jurgens
season:
2023
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
G
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Jamaree Salyer to be 1st on the depth chart
“Getting Rashawn Slater back at left tackle allows them to move Jamaree Salyer inside.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 83.33+33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
LAC
skill:
33.33
player:
Jamaree Salyer
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
83.33
position:
G
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
John Michael Schmitz to be 1st on the depth chart
“Rookie John Michael Schmitz should be an upgrade at center”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
John Michael Schmitz
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
C
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Bryce Young to be 1st on the depth chart
“as it protects rookie starting quarterback Bryce Young”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CAR
skill:
16.67
player:
Bryce Young
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Broderick Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“the addition of Seumalo and rookie left tackle Broderick Jones”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
-16.67
player:
Broderick Jones
season:
2023
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Juice Scruggs to be 1st on the depth chart
“rookie second-round center Juice Scruggs will be counted next to last year's first-rounder, Kenyon Green”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
HOU
skill:
-16.67
player:
Juice Scruggs
season:
2023
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
C
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
Matthew Bergeron to be 1st on the depth chart
“Now, they add another bruiser in rookie left guard Matthew Bergeron to the mix.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
16.67
player:
Matthew Bergeron
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
G
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
special-teams snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Darnell Wright to be 1st on the depth chart
“The additions of free agent Nate Davis and rookie right tackle Darnell Wright on the right side”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
skill:
16.67
player:
Darnell Wright
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
T
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
special-teams snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
Sam Cosmi to be 1st on the depth chart
“I'm skeptical of Sam Cosmi's move to right guard”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 83.33+33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
WAS
skill:
33.33
player:
Sam Cosmi
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
83.33
position:
G
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Donovan Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
“The real question will be how much of a drop-off they see at left tackle from Orlando Brown Jr. to Donovan Smith.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
KC
skill:
0
player:
Donovan Smith
season:
2023
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
T
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
offensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Jonah Williams to be 1st on the depth chart
“the question is how well will former left tackle Jonah Williams fare on the right side?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
LAR
skill:
0
player:
Jonah Williams
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
DE
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
defensive snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
“I broke down all 32 offensive lines into five different categories... 1. Philadelphia Eagles ... 32. Tennessee Titans”
Close · 59Scored 59.24a naive guess scored 75.38-32.29 skill
How this was scored
best:
BUF
unit:
offensive_line
skill:
-32.29
method:
spearman
season:
2023
accuracy:
59.24
baseline:
75.38
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Colton McKivitz to be 1st on the depth chart
“We will see how much of a downgrade it is going from McGlinchey to Colton McKivitz opposite the incredible Trent Williams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 66.67+66.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
SF
skill:
66.67
player:
Colton McKivitz
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
66.67
position:
T
naive slot:
5
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
special-teams snaps
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18

Graded calls · 19