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Sam Kienzle Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Leaderboard / Sam Kienzle

Sam Kienzle

Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

Every take from Sam Kienzle, including the ones still waiting →

Is Sam Kienzle accurate? Across 7 graded calls in 2 articles, Sam Kienzle scores 54.76% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -0.61, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

54.76%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-0.61

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

7

Graded calls

across 2 articles. 1 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

75% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 7

Iowa Sam had the Patriots winning and covering 20-13 in Denver and the Rams winning outright at Seattle 24-21, sticking with his preseason pick of the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also took the Falcons for most wins next season.3 graded calls · Jan 24, 2026
- Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
  “I picked the La Rams as a Super Bowl champion. Wow, So I have to roll with them.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  1

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

Think this grade is wrong?

New England Patriots 20 — Broncos 13

“I'm going to say that the Patriots win and cover twenty to thirteen over the Broncos”

Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 47.69+42.79 skill

How this was scored

score:: 10-7
skill:: 42.79
they picked:: NE
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 90.48
baseline:: 47.69
difficulty:: 1
weeks in the season:: 18
actual margin:: 3
weeks left when called:: 0
naive home margin:: 2.03
predicted margin:: 7

Think this grade is wrong?

Los Angeles Rams 24 — Seattle 21

“So I'm gonna say Rams win outright, twenty four twenty one”

Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 95.3-47.69 skill

How this was scored

score:: 27-31
skill:: -47.69
they picked:: LAR
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 47.62
baseline:: 95.3
difficulty:: 1
weeks in the season:: 18
actual margin:: 4
weeks left when called:: 0
naive home margin:: 2.03
predicted margin:: 3

Think this grade is wrong?

Iowa Sam took the Chiefs to win while liking Houston with the points, laid the points with the Lions, had the Eagles winning but the Rams covering, and picked the Bills to beat the Ravens.4 graded calls · Jan 18, 2025

Detroit Lions to beat Commanders
“I will lay the points of the Lions. There you go, that's nine point.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
WAS
score:
45-31
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
“I'm gonna take the Bills to win this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
25-27
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Rams
“and Sammy, I will take the Rams to cover. Eagles win, Rams cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
22-28
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans
“I will take the Chiefs to win with the Texans plus the points”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
14-23
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?