Sam Kienzle· Jan 24, 2026
Iowa Sam had the Patriots winning and covering 20-13 in Denver and the Rams winning outright at Seattle 24-21, sticking with his preseason pick of the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also took the Falcons for most wins next season.
“I picked the La Rams as a Super Bowl champion.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 2 score predictions, 1 season win total and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 47.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsJan 24, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 24 — Seattle 21
“So I'm gonna say Rams win outright, twenty four twenty one”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 95.3-47.69 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-31
- skill:
- -47.69
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 95.3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 24, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“I picked the La Rams as a Super Bowl champion. Wow, So I have to roll with them.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsJan 24, 2026
New England Patriots 20 — Broncos 13
“I'm going to say that the Patriots win and cover twenty to thirteen over the Broncos”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 47.69+42.79 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-7
- skill:
- 42.79
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 90.48
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Season Win TotalsAtlanta FalconsJan 24, 2026
Atlanta Falcons to finish with ? wins
“I mean, I'm gonna go with the Falcons because if they have beat On Robinson and they have a head coach”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
What others said about the same people
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Connor predicted the Patriots would rout the Steelers at home in Week 2, expecting a heavy run game in bad weather.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · New England PatriotsClose · 67Dajani has New England edging Pittsburgh 16-13 and the Rams beating the Giants 30-21 on a late field goal.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsMiss · 0Prisco picks four road/home winners with exact scores: Falcons over Panthers, Bears over Vikings, Jaguars upsetting Broncos, Chargers over Raiders, and Cowboys over Commanders.
- Jonas KnoxGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Knox took the Bears to cover against the Vikings, said New England would probably beat Pittsburgh even while taking the points, picked the Bengals to win outright in Houston, and took the Broncos over the Jaguars and the Rams over the Giants.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Expects the Falcons to fall to 0-2 in Cooper Rush starts, losing 24-13 to Carolina.
- Garrett ChapmanScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 50Thinks Atlanta matches up well but still falls short, picking Carolina 23-20.
- Jerry JonesScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Predicts Carolina pulls away from Atlanta, with the Falcons defense keeping it close early, in a 27-16 Panthers win.
- Trevor RipleyScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 38Ripley picks the Bears to beat the Vikings at Soldier Field in Week 2, 30-19, arguing Minnesota's offense is hobbled by injuries while Chicago's offense edges an aggressive but star-thin Vikings defense.
- Alain PoupartScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersClose · 71Poupart predicts the 49ers beat the Dolphins 27-17 at Levi's Stadium in Week 2, though he expects the game to be closer than the spread suggests. He also anticipates a larger role for De'Von Achane and a big passing day from Brock Purdy.
- Carter BahnsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace.