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Chris Brockman· Feb 24, 2025

Brockman predicted Micah Parsons would ask for a trade if Dallas whiffs in free agency again, that Myles Garrett would be traded before the draft, and that the Browns will draft Abdul Carter.

“Is Miles Garrett getting moved? I think that'll already be done. The Browns are taking Abdul.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Myles Garrett to move — “traded before the draft”

    “Is Miles Garrett getting moved? I think that'll already be done.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -200
    player:
    Myles Garrett
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    CLE
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys

    “If the Cowboys whiff on free agency again, Micah Parsons is going to ask for a trade.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Micah Parsons
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    DAL
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    GB
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Abdul Carter to be picked “the Browns are taking Abdul”

    “The Browns are taking Abdul.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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