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David Harrison· Sep 13, 2026

Harrison predicts the Commanders will upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 1 by a score of 27-24, driven by Jayden Daniels and timely defensive pressure. He also projects the active interior offensive line group and expects a good defensive day would hold Saquon Barkley to around 85-90 grinding yards.

I think Commanders come out with a twenty seven twenty four win because of Jaden Daniels, because some of that defensive pressure

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 23.8 out of 100, against 97 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Washington Commanders to win

    Washington Commanders getting a week win week one win here in the link, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    22-24
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Washington Commanders 27 — Philadelphia Eagles 24

    I'm gonna go against the market here in my prediction. I think Commanders come out with a twenty seven twenty four win

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 93.97-92.7 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-24
    skill:
    -92.7
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    93.97
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    -0.53
    predicted margin:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Nick Allegretti to be 1st on the depth chart

    So that means today, Nick Allegretti joining Good Jones, Matt Goldman would be who I project to be, the active interior offensive lineman for the Washington banners.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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