Pat Fitzmaurice Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Pat Fitzmaurice

Pat Fitzmaurice is the managing editor at FantasyPros and BettingPros, where he shapes the editorial direction for two of fantasy sports' most-visited destinations. A Milwaukee native and Green Bay Packers fan, he's built his career across outlets including Pro Football Weekly, Tribune Media Services, 4for4, and The Football Girl. His work at FantasyPros covers the full spectrum of fantasy football decision-making — sleepers, busts, draft strategy, and the preseason tea-leaf reading that separates the prepared from the hopeful. He's also a regular voice on podcasts and video segments, including appearances on The Herd with Colin Cowherd, breaking down the players and picks that define each fantasy season.

Writes at FantasyPros

Every take from Pat Fitzmaurice, including the ones still waiting →

Is Pat Fitzmaurice accurate? Across 168 graded calls in 23 articles, Pat Fitzmaurice scores 58.03% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 47.24, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

58.03%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

47.24

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

168

Graded calls

across 23 articles. 378 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

98.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Positional Finishes54 graded34.36 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks42 graded60.29 accuracy
Sleeper Calls32 graded59.2 accuracy

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 168

7 of 23 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 5.

Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets.Sep 2, 2026
- Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
  “it's widely expected that Murray will be taking the snaps when the Vikings face the Packers in Week 1”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  MIN
  week:
  1
  skill:
  200
  player:
  Kyler Murray
  season:
  2026
  claimed:
  he starts
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  position:

Fitzmorris made 10 first-round mock picks, starting with Arvel Reese to the Cardinals at No. 3 and including Caleb Downs to Dallas at 12 and Dillon Thieneman to Pittsburgh at 21.10 graded calls · Apr 19, 2026

Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27
“Caleb Blomo, the tackle from Utah. I think the forty nine ers have to start hatching a plan to replace Trent Williams”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Think this grade is wrong?
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 15
“Keldric Falk the edge from Auburn. Buccaneers do need an edge.”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 9
“So Francis Mawanoa, the tackle from Miami is going to be the pick here”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 30
“Chris Johnson, cornerback from San Diego State... So he fits into the first round with Miami.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 18
“But I'm going to give the Vikings Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle from Ohio State.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Cade McDonald
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 12
“How about with Caleb Downs, the safety from Ohio State. What a great runout for Dallas staying put at number twelve”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“They're gonna take Carnel Tate's wide receiver. Ohio State”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“R VIL Reese is still on the board for the Cardinals. Do they take him or go somewhere else. They are going to take him”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Arvel Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 21
“Dylan Theeneman. They are going to take the safety from Oregon.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 24
“They are going to take Cayden Proctor... So they are going to go with Procter.”
Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
59.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
59.46
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5

Fitzmorris made picks 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28 and 31 in the 2026 mock, ranked the top three receiver prospects Tate-Lemon-Tyson, said Caleb Downs won't fall to Day 2, and predicted Trey Hendrickson won't be back in Cincinnati.11 graded calls · Mar 8, 2026

Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 22
“twenty two we Have The Los angeles Chargers... they're Gonna Take, keldric falk the edge Rusher from auburn”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 10
“number ten... The Cincinnati bengals are up... we are going to stop the slide For Rubin bain edge From miami”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 25
“chicago bears twenty five... it's Gonna Be, caleb banks the defensive Tackle From Florida”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Caleb Banks
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
18
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28
“Twenty Eight Houston texans... it's Gonna Be, caleb lomu the offensive Tackle From utah”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 31
“Thirty One New England patriots... taking tj parker the Edge, from CLEMSON”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16
“number Sixteen here The jets with their second Pick... they're taking a wide, Receiver Jordan tyson Of Arizona State”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 19
“carolina panthers on at nineteen... they take A key messador edge Rusher from Miami”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
“pick number, thirteen... they are going to take McKay, lemon the wide receiver FROM Usc”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“He's going number four to the Tennessee Titans. Linebacker from Ohio State”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Trey Hendrickson to move to Cincinnati Bengals
“Trey hendrickson is not going to be Back”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Trey Hendrickson
season:
2026
claimed:
CIN
was with:
CIN
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
BAL
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7
“Yeah so It's love to The commanders, Here, Joe... at Seven”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29

Fitzmaurice made the even-numbered picks in the mock, sending Ruben Bain to the Jets at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at 5, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at 8, Spencer Fano to Miami at 11, Peter Woods to Baltimore at 14, Kadyn Proctor to Detroit at 17, TJ Parker to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Denzel Boston to Buffalo at 26, Monroe Freeling to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32. He also predicted Sadiq runs about a 4.5 at the combine and that Johnson really goes in the second round.13 graded calls · Feb 20, 2026

Chris Johnson to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)
“I think Johnson probably ends up going in the second round”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
the second round (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 2
“so I'm going to give them Rubin Bain the edge from Miami... Rubin Bain is the pick at number two.”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11
“Miami is going to take Spencer Fano the tackle from Utah.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 20
“giving the Cowboys Clemson edge TJ. Parker... TJ. Parker was going to be available at number twenty in the twenty twenty six draft”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“Giants run Selac safety Caleb Downs. The Giants have a lot of pass rushing talent, but they need some help on the back back end”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 26
“Bill's general manager Brandon Bean does not take Dunzel Boston, the receiver from the University of Washington, Bills fans are going to storm team headquarters”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“I'm getting the Saints. Jeremiah Love a top guy at a non premium pick position”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17
“The Lions are going to take Cayden Proctor, the massive offensive tackle from Alabama.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 23
“They're gonna take Kenyon Sidiq, the tight end from Oregon”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 29
“Monroe Freeling was a second team All SEC right tackle for the Georgia Bulldogs last season... Plug and play replacement for Havenstein.”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85 against a shuffle’s 50+35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32
“they are going to take a cornerback. It's Chris Johnson of San Diego State.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82
“He's probably gonna run a four to five at the combine”
Close · 59Scored 58.58a naive guess scored 20.76+37.82 skill
How this was scored
off:
0.11
drill:
forty time
naive:
the average TE (4.71, from 107 results)
scale:
credit halves every 0.14 — one standard deviation for a TE
skill:
37.82
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
result:
4.39
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
58.58
baseline:
20.76
predicted:
4.5
sigmas out:
0.77
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Peter Woods to be picked at number 14
“They are going to select Peter Woods, defensive lineman from Clemson.”
Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 81.82 against a shuffle’s 50+31.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.82
player:
Peter Woods
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
29
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.82