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Jonathan Jones· Feb 26, 2026

Jones expects Anthony Richardson to be traded, likely for roughly a fifth-round pick, and to serve as a backup rather than a starter in 2026. He also lays out a series of quarterback-market predictions: Aaron Rodgers back with the Steelers, Tua off the Dolphins roster, Daniel Jones ultimately staying as the Colts' starter, Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders competing for Cleveland's QB1 job, Will Levis most likely of the veteran backups to be traded, and Kirk Cousins possibly landing in Arizona.

“Ultimately, I believe that Daniel Jones will be the quarterback of the Colts.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 5 trade and signing calls and 3 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 94.4 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

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Who this take is about

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Will Levis to move to Tennessee Titans

    “most likely to be traded out of that group would be Will Levis”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Will Levis
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    TEN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → NYJ (from TEN)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “He's going somewhere to be a backup next year to just kinda see what you got. Yeah... But I don't have any evidence from his play that he's going to be able to do that to start '26.”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 75+8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Anthony Richardson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    75
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Ultimately, I believe that Daniel Jones will be the quarterback of the Colts.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kirk Cousins to move to Arizona Cardinals

    “I don't know that cousins just maybe to Arizona.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Anthony Richardson to move

    “I did not really see where Anthony Richardson was gonna be a member of the Indianapolis Colts in 2026... You start getting into that fifth round range, and that that's probably the sweet spot. That's probably what's gonna wind up happening.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tua Tagovailoa to move to Miami Dolphins

    “No. No. Tua won't Tua won't be on the team.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

    “Steelers, Aaron Rodgers. I think that they know that he's coming back... I think that he's their plan”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I see this playing out as Deshaun and Shador are battling it out for QB one.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

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