Eric Crocker· Mar 6, 2026
Crocker grades Chris Bell as a third-round talent rather than a first-rounder, and expects Caleb Douglas to be projected around the late third round.
“But I I saw more third round pick than first round pick.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickthird round, late third round (picks 65–100)They said
75What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DouglasMar 6, 2026
Caleb Douglas to be picked “third round, late third round” (picks 65–100)
“if the 49er drafted him third round, late third round or something with a comp pick, because that's where he's, you know, protected to go, I I wouldn't be mad at that at all”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Caleb Douglas
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 75
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- third round, late third round (picks 65–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksChris BellMar 6, 2026
Chris Bell to be picked “third round pick” (picks 65–100)
“But I I saw more third round pick than first round pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Chris Bell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 94
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- third round pick (picks 65–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
What others said about the same people
- Alain PoupartRoster Spot Calls · Caleb DouglasHit · 100Previewing the Dolphins' preseason finale and roster cutdown, Poupart states Malik Willis is locked in as the starting quarterback, Mark Gronowski is effectively gone, and identifies Greg Dulcich and Will Kacmarek as the only certainties at tight end while treating several receivers as settled roster locks.
- Alain PoupartRoster Spot Calls · Caleb DouglasHit · 100Poupart sorts the Dolphins roster into tiers ahead of the 53-man cutdown, naming 28 players as locks to make the roster and eight more as borderline locks who more than likely make it. He also expects Quinn Ewers to be the No. 2 quarterback behind Malik Willis, and says Darrell Baker Jr. and Storm Duck will start the season on PUP.
- Tyler DeSenaRoster Spot Calls · Caleb DouglasHit · 100DeSena expects Chris Bell to function as Miami's X-receiver, with Caleb Douglas as the deep-threat Z and Malik Washington in the slot, and considers Bell, Douglas, Washington and fifth-round rookie Kevin Coleman locks to make the 53-man roster.
- Alain PoupartRoster Spot Calls · Caleb DouglasHit · 100Poupart's third 53-man roster projection of 2026 for the Dolphins names which players make the roster and which are cut at each position group.
- Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks · Chris BellMiss · 11In a full mock draft for the New Orleans Saints, Ross Jackson has the Saints selecting Ohio State safety Caleb Downs at No. 8, Louisville WR Chris Bell at 42, Tennessee edge Joshua Josephs at 73, Georgia TE Oscar Delp at 132, Stephen F. Austin CB Charles Demings at 136, Ole Miss WR Dejean Stribling at 150, Michigan DT Rayshawn Benny at 172 and Auburn OL Jeremiah Wright in the sixth round.
- Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks · Chris BellMiss · 7Jackson argues LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine could be the Saints' pick at No. 8 overall in the 2026 draft, mocks Chris Bell to New Orleans in the second round (pick 42) and pegs Auburn edge Kieran Crawford as a day-three/fourth-round value at pick 132. He also says USC's Makai Lemmon would have to be taken at eight and is one of the first three receivers off the board.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rob RangMock Draft Picks · Jeremiah SmithMiss · 0Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · Brandon DoughtyMiss · 3Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable.
- Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks · Gennings DunkerHit · 100Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Eli HeidenreichHit · 100Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
- Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks · Bud ClarkHit · 96In his final 2026 mock draft for the 49ers, Peacock projects San Francisco taking WR Kevin Concepcion (KC) at pick 27, then after trading out of round two, edge rusher Kieron Crawford and safety Bud Clark in round three, OL Trey Zune and RB Jonah Coleman in round four, CB Charles Demings in round five and guard Caden Barnett in round six. He also thinks Omar Cooper comes off the board before Concepcion.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Riley NowakowskiMiss · 13In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round.