JP Acosta · Mar 2, 2026
Acosta gave draft ranges for combine risers — Nussmeier in the third round, Kenyon Sadiq in round one, Chris Johnson in round two — and made picks 2, 4, 6 and every other selection in a post-combine first-round mock draft.
“I think the third round is where about is about where I draft him.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →
26 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 32
“32 this is this is where it stops for Denzel Boston. I think you just keep him home”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksBlake MillerHouston TexansMar 2, 2026
Blake Miller to be picked at number 28
“I think I'm gonna take Blake Miller here Yeah. From tackle from Clemson”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Blake Miller
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with DET
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonNew York JetsMar 2, 2026
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16
“16, we have manifested it... Mikhail Lemmon. Let's let's just go ahead and make this happen.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 26
“'26, we're building the exciting whites. Dylan Thieneman is going to be their pick here.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksGarrett NussmeierMar 2, 2026
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked “the third round” (picks 65–96)
“I think I would lean more towards day two. I think the third round is where about is about where I draft him... I think he's more of a third round guy at this point.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.13 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Garrett Nussmeier
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.13
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 249
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.13
- predicted pick:
- the third round (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“Lock and stone, Caleb Downs, number 10 to the Bengals.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24
“24, already drafted, Monroe Freeling, if you're the Browns. I think they go wide receiver here, and I'm going to go with Casey Concepcion here over Denzel Boston.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- K.C. Concepcion
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 24
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6
“With this pick, I'm gonna go Monroe Freeling from Georgia... The the Browns are gonna draft the the big tall guy at left tackle.”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 56.94
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 56.94
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksRueben BainTennessee TitansMar 2, 2026
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 4
“I think this one should be easy for the Titans. They should sprint up to the board and pick Ruben Bayne Junior.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsMar 2, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“Second overall pick, I think this one's easy too. I'm gonna go Arvell Reese.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“This is a very interesting pick here with New Orleans. Give me Jeremiah Love.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksKanye SavicMar 2, 2026
Kanye Savic to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“It's not about, like, if he goes first round anymore. It's about how high he goes in the first round... So I'm willing to bet on that in round one.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Kanye Savic
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneDallas CowboysMar 2, 2026
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 12
“Twelve, I'm gonna go Mansoor Delaine. And I I think that the Cowboys love Delaine.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb BanksMinnesota VikingsMar 2, 2026
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 18
“18, the Minnesota Vikings... I'm going to go with Caleb Banks here.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Caleb Banks
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 18
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 22
“22, I think this is the furthest he's going to fall. I'm a little Kellogg Falk”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksC.J. AllenDallas CowboysMar 2, 2026
C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20
“Man, 20 Dallas... I I'm gonna go CJ Allen.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- C.J. Allen
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 23.94
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 53
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 23.94
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksCade McDonaldDenver BroncosMar 2, 2026
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 30
“30, this is a very interesting pick for the Broncos... So I'm gonna go Caden McDonald here, and I'm beefing up the run defense.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Cade McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“14... give me Vega Yoani... I don't think Yoani is gonna leave the, top 20 come April.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Vega Yoani
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksJacob RodriguezMar 2, 2026
Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “top 50” (picks 1–50)
“Yeah. I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't leave the top 50 like we talked about Malachi Lawrence.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.56 against a shuffle’s 50+39.56 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 39.56
- player:
- Jacob Rodriguez
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 43
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 50 (picks 1–50)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 89.56
- Mock Draft PicksChris JohnsonMar 2, 2026
Chris Johnson to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)
“if you're gonna draft him in the second round, which is where I think he's gonna go... he's not going to leave day two”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksCole PaytonMar 2, 2026
Cole Payton to be picked “day two”
“So would not surprise me after this if he ends up in that day two mix as well.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksDeion BurksMar 2, 2026
Deion Burks to be picked “day two”
“Like, again, we're thinking, like, day two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksDillon ThienemanMar 2, 2026
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “round one”
“So I think he is talk he has performed himself into surefire, like, round one position.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksChase PizzantesMar 2, 2026
Chase Pizzantes to be picked “day two”
“So he's one of my guys on, like, day two. I don't think he gets into day one”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceMar 2, 2026
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “legit round two potential”
“But watching him do this at the combine, like, we're talking about, like, legit round two potential”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksDennis SuttonMar 2, 2026
Dennis Sutton to be picked “day two”
“He has the ability to win with long arms, and that's something that I'm really intrigued by as just a day two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.