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Is Aaron Schatz accurate? Across 18 graded calls in 2 articles, Aaron Schatz scores 53.9% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -11.14, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“he likes Bijon Robinson over Saquon Barkley in most leagues... that's why we've got Jean Robinson actually as the top running back this year.”
Matthew Golden to be 1st on the depth chart
“he is what they're looking for, which is a clear number one”
“And these are my top five projected teams for twenty twenty five. Ravens, Lions, Bills, Chiefs and Commanders.”
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
“I'm going with the Bills and the Lions as my Super Bowl.”
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“I'm going with the Bills and the Lions as my Super Bowl.”
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 9 wins
“you have the Jaguars at nine wins. You have them at a fifty four point seven percent chance to make the playoffs.”
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11.2 wins
“You have the forty nine Ers at projected for eleven point two wins, which is the most in the NFC, it's the third most in the NFL.”
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 7.7 wins
“You have both the Steelers and the Cowboys as losing teams projected for seven point seven wins each.”
Tre Harris to be 1st on the depth chart
“They're going to depend on a second round rookie, probably to start Trey Harris now that Mike Williams is retired”
Carolina Panthers to finish with 5.5 wins
“the Panthers are dead last, like five and a half wins, under ten percent chance to make the playoffs”
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
“You have the Jaguars projected to win the division. It's only by you know, half a game in your projections”
Washington Commanders to win the division
“a better chance to win the NFC East over Philadelphia”
San Francisco 49ers to win the division
“Let's say you combine that with the really easy schedule, you have a division champion.”
Brock Bowers to be 1st on the depth chart
“Jacoby Myers is a night slot receiver, but he's no one idea of a number one. But the number one is really Bowers.”
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 7.7 wins
“You have both the Steelers and the Cowboys as losing teams projected for seven point seven wins each.”
Washington Commanders to finish with 10.6 wins
“You have the Commanders at ten point six wins. That's about a win ahead of the Eagles.”
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 8.3 wins
“we've got the Raiders with your projections getting eight point three wins... thirty eight point six percent chance of making the playoffs”
“you have them in your overall DVOA projections for the year. The Eagles as the seventh best team in the NFL, So not that much different than where Washington is at five... the Panthers are dead last... You have the Saints projected to be like the thirtieth best team in the league.”