Aaron Schatz · Aug 12, 2025
Schatz gives FTN's top five projected teams for 2025 (Ravens, Lions, Bills, Chiefs, Commanders), picks Bills over... a Bills-Lions Super Bowl matchup, names Bijan Robinson the top fantasy running back, and tabs Packers rookie Matthew Golden as a sleeper who breaks out.
“I'm going with the Bills and the Lions as my Super Bowl.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Power RankingsAug 12, 2025
“And these are my top five projected teams for twenty twenty five. Ravens, Lions, Bills, Chiefs and Commanders.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 10
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 75
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsMatthew GoldenGreen Bay PackersAug 12, 2025
“he is what they're looking for, which is a clear number one”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 83.33-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Matthew Golden
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesBijan RobinsonAug 12, 2025
“he likes Bijon Robinson over Saquon Barkley in most leagues... that's why we've got Jean Robinson actually as the top running back this year.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Bijan Robinson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Sleeper CallsMatthew GoldenGreen Bay PackersAug 12, 2025
“I really like Matthew Golden, the rookie wide receiver in green Bay... I think he's going to really break out, especially over the second half of the season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsBuffalo BillsAug 12, 2025
“I'm going with the Bills and the Lions as my Super Bowl.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsDetroit LionsAug 12, 2025
“I'm going with the Bills and the Lions as my Super Bowl.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.