Chad Millman
70.1%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
56.87
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
2
Graded calls
across 2 articles. 7 more not yet settled.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 2
“Simon and I have talked about our top ten quarterback lists, and we both like Baker as a top ten quarterback. We both had him at number ten.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 33.33+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 10
“number ten. Baker Mayfield... I put Rock Party at nine... Number eight, justin Herbert... Seven. I had Jared Goff six, I had Jaden Daniels five, I had Jalen Hurts four, Joe Burrow three, Lamar two, Josh Allen one, Patrick Mahomes... on my outside looking in Stafford eleven, two, twelve, c. J. Stroud thirteen.”
Scored 56.87a naive guess scored 50+13.74 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 13.74
- placed:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 13
- accuracy:
- 56.87
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 13: 56.87
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18