Chad Millman· Jul 18, 2025
Chad ranked his top 10 NFL quarterbacks for 2025 from a betting perspective, with Patrick Mahomes first, Josh Allen second and Baker Mayfield tenth, plus Stafford, Tua and C.J. Stroud just outside.
“So that's why Mahomes was number one to me on my outside looking in Stafford eleven, two, twelve, c. J. Stroud thirteen.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
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One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 56.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Top Player ListsJul 18, 2025
“number ten. Baker Mayfield... I put Rock Party at nine... Number eight, justin Herbert... Seven. I had Jared Goff six, I had Jaden Daniels five, I had Jalen Hurts four, Joe Burrow three, Lamar two, Josh Allen one, Patrick Mahomes... on my outside looking in Stafford eleven, two, twelve, c. J. Stroud thirteen.”
Close · 57Scored 56.87a naive guess scored 50+13.74 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 13.74
- placed:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 13
- accuracy:
- 56.87
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 13: 56.87
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
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