Chris Welsh
45.83%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
-75
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
3
Graded calls
across 2 articles. 25 more not yet settled.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 3
“Quinton Johnson now needs to be looked at as the number one in this offense”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-14.83 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- LAC
- skill:
- -14.83
- player:
- Quentin Johnston
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 14
“He becomes the de facto number one. I think that puts him in a good spot.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+14.83 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- MIA
- skill:
- 14.83
- player:
- Jaylen Waddle
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- measured by:
- receptions
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 14
“The rushing upside makes him a top ten quarterback draft.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 75-150 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -150
- player:
- Justin Fields
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 31
- actual finish:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 10