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Chris Welsh· Sep 7, 2025

Welsh backed the Broncos as his survivor pick over the Titans and suggested Chris Rodriguez is more likely than Bill Croskey-Merritt to start for the Commanders in Week 1.

“I'm in a survivor and I have the Broncos this week.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 95.8 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Denver Broncos to beat Tennessee Titans

    “But I'm in a survivor and I have the Broncos this week... but I think you're good with it.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    12-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Like I think Chris Rodriguez is probably a better bet to start than Bill Krofsky. Merritt.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    4
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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