Daniel Jeremiah

Daniel Jeremiah is an analyst and writer for NFL Network and NFL.com who also serves as a color commentator for Los Angeles Chargers games on KFI radio. Before moving to media, he worked as a college scout with the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, and Philadelphia Eagles — experience that shows up in his detailed prospect evaluations. He joined NFL Network in May 2012 and has become a familiar voice on shows like Move the Sticks and Around the NFL. His predictions here cover NFL Draft positioning, combine measurements, and prospect rankings, with particular attention to teams like the Giants, Cowboys, and Titans.

Writes at Locked On Cardinals (podcast)

Every take from Daniel Jeremiah, including the ones still waiting →

Is Daniel Jeremiah accurate? Across 278 graded calls in 40 articles, Daniel Jeremiah scores 66.1% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 22.2, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

66.1%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

22.2

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

278

Graded calls

across 40 articles. 98 more not yet settled.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 278

9 of 41 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 4 of 8.

Jeremiah laid out his post-combine board — Fernando Mendoza first, Jeremiah Love second, Ty Simpson 40th — and pegged Simpson as a second-round pick rather than a first-rounder. He also forecast round-by-round landing spots for the top running backs, receiver Germie Bernard, and several offensive linemen.4 graded calls · Mar 3, 2026
- Spencer Fano to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
  “Fano, who you know has his shorter arms but literally worked out at center, can play any of the five spots, is a really good player. He's going to go in the first round.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Spencer Fano
  season:
  2026
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50

As relayed on the show, Jeremiah's Feb. 17 mock has Malaga third, Fano sixth, the Chiefs taking Jeremiah Love at nine, Blake Miller at 23 and Freeling at 24.5 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026

Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“He has Fano going sixth and Malaga going third.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 60 against a shuffle’s 50+10 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
10
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
60
Think this grade is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6
“He has Fano going sixth and Malaga going third.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Think this grade is wrong?
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 24
“there's not another tackle until Blake Miller of Clemson at 23 and then Freeling at 24”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 9
“And after that, he also has a Chiefs sake, Jeremiah Love.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
25
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
75
Blake Miller to be picked at number 23
“there's not another tackle until Blake Miller of Clemson at 23 and then Freeling at 24”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 80 against a shuffle’s 50+30 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
30
player:
Blake Miller
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
17
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
80

At the combine, Jeremiah laid out his read of the top of the draft: Mendoza first overall to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets at No. 2, Ruben Bain to the Titans at 4, Cornell Tate to the Giants, Jeremiah Love in the 7-9 range, and Ty Simpson as the second quarterback taken. He also expects receiver Brandon Thompson to challenge the 40-yard dash record.4 graded calls · Feb 27, 2026

David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“I I tend to think if it's close, they probably go with an edge rusher... Like, I think David Bailey at this point in time is where I would peg them.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 4
“Now, Ruben Bain, we had the discussion... the tape warrants being in that conversation right there... But that's where where I had them going.”
Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“I mean, I think Tysons is gonna be the second one, and I'm excited to see him throw.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
skill:
60.3
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
39.7
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“So Fernando Mendoza will check the box... Well, I just think with the Raiders, it's we've you know, it feels like Mendoza is the guy there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:

On Move the Sticks, Daniel Jeremiah gave his views on the 2026 draft class: he set his board (Jeremiah Love as the second-best player, Malinoi 12th, Fano 14th), ranked the top edge rushers Bailey-Reese-Bain, projected draft ranges for several prospects, and forecast measurables for a few players.6 graded calls · Feb 26, 2026

Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I think he's gonna end up in first round when it's all said and done.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Omar Cooper
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Justin Jefferson to post might run in the four threes at the combine
“who's going to be around two hundred twenty pounds and might run in the four threes”
Miss · 27Scored 27.41a naive guess scored 73.86-46.45 skill
How this was scored
off:
0.27
drill:
forty time
naive:
the average LB (4.63, from 150 results)
scale:
credit halves every 0.14 — one standard deviation for a LB
skill:
-46.45
player:
Justin Jefferson
result:
4.57
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
27.41
baseline:
73.86
predicted:
4.3
sigmas out:
1.87
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “maybe in the third round” (picks 65–100)
“And then you know a guy like Malachi Lawrence out of UCF maybe in the third round is another really good players”
Miss · 16Scored 16.21a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Malachi Lawrence
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
16.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
23
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
16.21
predicted pick:
maybe in the third round (picks 65–100)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Justin Jefferson to post around two hundred twenty pounds at the combine
“New Justin Jefferson from Alabama in this class, who's going to be around two hundred twenty pounds and might run in the four threes”
Hit · 82Scored 82.39a naive guess scored 49.14+33.25 skill
How this was scored
off:
3
drill:
weight lbs
naive:
the average LB (234, from 218 results)
scale:
credit halves every 10.73 — one standard deviation for a LB
skill:
33.25
player:
Justin Jefferson
result:
223
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
82.39
baseline:
49.14
predicted:
220
sigmas out:
0.28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
Cashius Howell to post there's a chance he runs in the four fource at the combine
“you know, Casius, howel does he get there? You know from Texas, A and M. I think there's a chance he runs in the four fource here like he's got legit, legit giddy up speed.”
Miss · 35Scored 34.51a naive guess scored 68.8-34.29 skill
How this was scored
off:
0.19
drill:
forty time
naive:
the average EDGE (4.66, from 90 results)
scale:
credit halves every 0.12 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
skill:
-34.29
player:
Cashius Howell
result:
4.59
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
34.51
baseline:
68.8
predicted:
4.4
sigmas out:
1.54
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
Kenyon Sadiq to post six three two forty five at the combine
“Sadik from from Oregon's We'll see how big he is, but probably a little under six three or at six three two forty five”
Close · 70Scored 69.71a naive guess scored 50.76+18.95 skill
How this was scored
off:
4
drill:
weight lbs
naive:
the average TE (248.52, from 151 results)
scale:
credit halves every 7.68 — one standard deviation for a TE
skill:
18.95
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
result:
241
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
69.71
baseline:
50.76
predicted:
245
sigmas out:
0.52
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:

Jeremiah previewed the combine with a series of draft projections: Ty Simpson ranked around 40th on his board with first-round upside, Garrett Nussmeier landing on Day 2 (more likely third round than second), Jeremiyah Love as a top-10 pick, Jeneian Price as a second-round pick, and Jermal McCoy potentially the first cornerback drafted.10 graded calls · Feb 24, 2026

Ty Simpson to be picked at number 40
“So you know, I have up updated list that's out there now. My initial list. He was my fortieth player. He's still around that range for me”
Miss · 31Scored 31.05a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
31.05
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
31.05
predicted pick:
40
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jadarian Price to be picked “second round pick all day every day” (picks 33–64)
“Jeneium Price has a chance to maybe he could potentially get into the back of the first round, but I think he's a second round pick all day every day.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jadarian Price
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
32
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
second round pick all day every day (picks 33–64)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Denzel Boston to post six three at the combine
“he's gonna be six three, you know, two tennis”
Close · 74Scored 74.1a naive guess scored 38.59+35.51 skill
How this was scored
off:
1
drill:
height in
naive:
the average WR (72.82, from 336 results)
scale:
credit halves every 2.31 — one standard deviation for a WR
skill:
35.51
player:
Denzel Boston
result:
76
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
74.1
baseline:
38.59
predicted:
75
sigmas out:
0.43
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
Brenen Thompson to lead his drill at the combine
“he's got a chance to break the record. Like, he can fly”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
of:
34
drill:
forty time
naive:
the middle of the pool (place 18)
scope:
WRs
skill:
100
player:
Brenen Thompson
result:
4.26
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual place:
1
claimed place:
1
weeks left when called:
Jermod McCoy to be 1st corner off the board
“He could be the first corner to go not a surprise at all. I know teams that I've talked to to see him that way”
Miss · 2Scored 2.21a naive guess scored 21.34-19.13 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 27 at random averages 21.34
skill:
-19.13
player:
Jermod McCoy
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
2.21
baseline:
21.34
position:
corner
class size:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
12
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Cashius Howell to post in the low two fifties at the combine
“Cashes howls in the low two fifties with really really short arms”
Hit · 94Scored 93.83a naive guess scored 89.41+4.42 skill
How this was scored
off:
1
drill:
weight lbs
naive:
the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)
scale:
credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
skill:
4.42
player:
Cashius Howell
result:
253
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
93.83
baseline:
89.41
predicted:
252
sigmas out:
0.09
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
Brenen Thompson to post five eight and change at the combine
“Brennan Thompson from Mississippi State, who's gonna be five eight and change maybe one hundred and seventy something pounds”
Close · 74Scored 74.1a naive guess scored 31.77+42.33 skill
How this was scored
off:
1
drill:
height in
naive:
the average WR (72.82, from 336 results)
scale:
credit halves every 2.31 — one standard deviation for a WR
skill:
42.33
player:
Brenen Thompson
result:
69
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
74.1
baseline:
31.77
predicted:
68
sigmas out:
0.43
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
Rueben Bain to post almost two hundred and eighty pounds. He's two hundred and seventy five pounds at the combine
“Ruben Bain's almost two hundred and eighty pounds. He's two hundred and seventy five pounds.”
Close · 47Scored 46.58a naive guess scored 59.18-12.6 skill
How this was scored
off:
12
drill:
weight lbs
naive:
the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)
scale:
credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
skill:
-12.6
player:
Rueben Bain
result:
263
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
46.58
baseline:
59.18
predicted:
275
sigmas out:
1.1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
Cashius Howell to post good chance he could crack four five and run in the high four fours at the combine
“Well that I think there's a good chance he could crack four five and run in the high four fours.”
Close · 60Scored 60.41a naive guess scored 68.8-8.39 skill
How this was scored
off:
0.09
drill:
forty time
naive:
the average EDGE (4.66, from 90 results)
scale:
credit halves every 0.12 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
skill:
-8.39
player:
Cashius Howell
result:
4.59
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
60.41
baseline:
68.8
predicted:
4.5
sigmas out:
0.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top ten pick more than likely” (picks 1–10)
“But Jeremiah Love, who will be a top ten pick more than likely.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top ten pick more than likely (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Jeremiah says Fernando Mendoza is the best player in the draft and a lock to be the first overall pick by the Raiders, grades him behind the 2024 trio of Caleb Williams, Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels, and outlines a mock draft with David Bailey to the Jets, Reese falling to seventh, Ruben Bain to the Titans, and Tate to the Giants at five. He also expects Ty Simpson to go outside the first round, names Brennan Thompson as the favorite for the fastest 40 at the combine, and expects Mendoza not to throw while Simpson does.7 graded calls · Feb 20, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
“we've got, you know, only one quarterback right now that's, you know, for sure a lock first round pick”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
skill:
66.92
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
33.08
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“He's the first overall pick. Correct? ... he's warranted to be the first overall pick.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Brenen Thompson to lead his drill at the combine
“Who's who's got a shot to break the record for fastest 40? ... Brennan Thompson ... everybody has him as the clear favorite here to at least give this thing a run.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
of:
34
drill:
forty time
naive:
the middle of the pool (place 18)
scope:
WRs
skill:
100
player:
Brenen Thompson
result:
4.26
season:
2025
combine year:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual place:
1
claimed place:
1
Ty Simpson to be picked “outside the first round” (picks 1–32)
“you don't have Ty Simpson being drafted in the first round. You have Mendoza starting the first round off and then zero quarterbacks in your two point o mock draft”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
outside the first round (NOT picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “lock first round grade” (picks 1–32)
“he is the one true running back, that's that's, you know, got a lock first round great across the league”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
lock first round grade (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5
“And you think the Giants at five add him, for for Dart”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7
“and Reese drops all the way down to seven”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?

Daniel Jeremiah Mock Draft Accuracy: Every Pick, Graded, page 4 | MissedTakes