Danny Parkins Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Danny Parkins

Danny Parkins appears regularly on Fox Sports programming, including First Things First and The Herd with Colin Cowherd, where he offers predictions on NFL outcomes ranging from game results to MVP races. His coverage spans teams like the Bears, Cowboys, and Bills, with a particular eye toward playoff scenarios and Super Bowl contenders.

Writes at Fox Sports

Every take from Danny Parkins, including the ones still waiting →

Is Danny Parkins accurate? Across 90 graded calls in 17 articles, Danny Parkins scores 57.04% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -10.04, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

57.04%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-10.04

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 17 articles. 186 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

93.5% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Game Outcome Picks26 graded57.5 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks25 graded95.11 accuracy
Season Win Totals17 graded61.18 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Danny Parkins keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

New York Giants+87
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 90

8 of 17 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 3.

Parkins picked the Giants to upset Dallas, the Steelers to beat Atlanta by two scores, the Bears to beat Carolina, the Bills to beat Houston and Denver to beat Kansas City outright; he also said Justin Herbert will win an MVP and had the Bengals as AFC North champs.5 graded calls · Sep 11, 2026
- Chicago Bears to beat Panthers
  “Bears are putting up a huge number... So, Bears minus three”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  CHI
  score:
  59-37
  skill:
  200
  they picked:
  CHI
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  CAR
  difficulty:

Danny Parkins presented his one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.22 graded calls · Apr 23, 2026

Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9
“I think the Chiefs just go to arguably best player in the draft, Caleb Downs... At at number nine.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Think this grade is wrong?
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 19
“The Panthers going with McKay Lemmon”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Think this grade is wrong?
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 23
“Eagles are gonna be a prime team to trade up, but they'll settle for Monroe Freeling.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 25
“I'm going Denzel Boston, to to the Jets”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Ty Simpson to be picked “Very end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
“So I think Ty Simpson, I think someone trades... Very end of the first round, I think he gets his name called tonight.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
Very end of the first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14
“Ravens replace freakish tight end Isaiah Likeley with freakish tight end Kenyon Sadiq.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 13
“Omar Cooper with Sean McVay just feels... fun”
Close · 48Scored 47.88 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Omar Cooper
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
47.88
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
47.88
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7
“Carnell Tate goes to the Commanders.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32
“So I have Arizona jump with a thirty fourth pick... and take the Seahawks pick at 32... And Tye Simpson goes to the Cardinals”
Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
43.91
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
43.91
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Colton Hood to be picked at number 29
“Chiefs rebuild their secondary in one draft at the corner out of Tennessee... I had them just overhauling their secondary with Caleb Downs and Colton Hood with the two picks.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Colton Hood
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
37
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
“And then Reuben Bain Junior goes to the New Orleans Saints at number eight”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Think this grade is wrong?
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17
“Lions on the clock. And this pit, Vanga Yawanda just seems like a... Dan Campbell pick.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31
“Most people don't have the Patriots taking a safety, but most people also have McNeil Warren going higher than this.”
Miss · 31Scored 31.05 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
31.05
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
31.05
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Peter Woods to be picked at number 26
“I think Peter Woods and Caden McDonald would be like the top guys for the Bills. I had them going with the DT out of Clemson.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.75 against a shuffle’s 50+41.75 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.75
player:
Peter Woods
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
29
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5
“Sonny Styles to the Giants.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.75 against a shuffle’s 50+41.75 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.75
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.75
Think this grade is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“I think the Jets with Aaron Glenn go with the more surefire pass rusher, David Bailey, over Arvell Reese at two”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.75 against a shuffle’s 50+41.75 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.75
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.75
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“And I have Dallas taking the big swing... Arvel Reese with the comps to Micah Parsons, they give up twelve and twenty to move up.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“The fourth pick is not what I would do, but Jeremiah Love, people say is the best player in the draft... I do think if he is there, they will do it.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6
“Francis Manenoah for the Browns, I know they need a left tackle.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16
“So I have the Bears taking the second round pick that they got in the DJ Moore trade and jumping the Lions, jumping the Vikings and moving up for K Pop... So Caden Proctor to the Bears”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18
“Everyone has Dylan Thieneman, back to the Vikings.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.37 against a shuffle’s 50+39.37 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.37
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.37