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Danny Parkins· Feb 6, 2026

Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.

I am going twenty seven sixteen Seahawks, and I'm going Jackson Smith and Jigba as the Super Bowl MVP.

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 62.7 out of 100, against 5.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    I am going twenty seven sixteen Seahawks ... So I just believe they're the better team.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 16

    I am going twenty seven sixteen Seahawks

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 16.73+71.36 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    71.36
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    11

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl MVP

    I'm going Jackson Smith and Jigba as the Super Bowl MVP. If it's a relatively low scoring game, but he has the lion's share of the production

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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