Kevin Wildes

Kevin Wildes is a host on First Things First, where he weighs in on a wide range of NFL topics—from Super Bowl and MVP predictions to division races and player movement. His predictions have touched teams like the Patriots, Vikings, and Cowboys, and players including Justin Jefferson, A.J. Brown, and Drake Maye.

Writes at First Things First (podcast)

Every take from Kevin Wildes, including the ones still waiting →

Is Kevin Wildes accurate? Across 12 graded calls in 6 articles, Kevin Wildes scores 28.37% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 1.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

28.37%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

1.67

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

12

Graded calls

across 6 articles. 40 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 12

Wildes parlayed two upsets: Houston beating Buffalo and Indianapolis beating Baltimore, and had picked Dak Prescott as league MVP.2 graded calls · Sep 11, 2026
- Houston Texans to win
  “Josh Allen loses yet again to the Texans in Houston... I've got, straight up Texans over Bills again.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  BUF
  score:
  36-31
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  HOU
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  HOU
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18

weeks left when called:

18

Think this grade is wrong?

Indianapolis Colts to win

“Colts straight up over the... If Houston beats Buffalo and the Colts beat the Ravens, you get 11 points.”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill

How this was scored

won:: BAL
score:: 41-23
skill:: 0
they picked:: IND
season:: 2026
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 0
the naive pick:: IND
difficulty:: 2
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 18

Think this grade is wrong?

Wildes picked the Patriots to upset the Seahawks in the Super Bowl by a score of 28-16, arguing New England's defense is better than Seattle's and that the game is priced wrong.2 graded calls · Feb 6, 2026

New England Patriots 28 — Seahawks 16
“My I'm going twenty eight, sixteen Patriots over Seahawks.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 16.73+23.74 skill
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
23.74
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
“I'm I'm gonna go for the Patriots. ... So I agree with your friend that it's price priced wrong, and I am still confident.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Wildes predicted the Patriots would rout the Broncos, expecting something like 28-3, and called for no upsets on championship weekend with the Seahawks' defense carrying Seattle past the Rams.3 graded calls · Jan 24, 2026

New England Patriots to win
“Destroy. And I mean route Wow. The Broncos. ... I think it's going to be a route”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
10-7
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots 28 — Denver Broncos 3
“I actually want it to be at 28 to nothing, which I am expecting maybe 28 help Jared. 28 to three.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 47.69+2.31 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-7
skill:
2.31
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
47.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
25
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to win
“Much like Chris Broussard, who I've learned a lot from, I too am saying no upsets. Zero upsets. Defense carries the day. ... Patriots and Seahawks combined production this post season.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
27-31
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Wildes guarantees a Patriots win over the Texans and picks the Bears straight up over the Rams as his upset alert.2 graded calls · Jan 17, 2026

Chicago Bears to win
“Bear straight up over the Rams... The bears are going to win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
20-17
skill:
0
they picked:
CHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to win
“I'm willing to guarantee a Patriots victory... I guarantee it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
16-28
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Wildes made the Steelers straight up over the Texans as his upset alert pick, arguing Aaron Rodgers' quick-release style is the recipe against Houston's pass rush.Jan 10, 2026

Pittsburgh Steelers to win
“That's a stealers over Texans straight up. Is that what you wanted to hear? Because that's what I believe.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
HOU
score:
30-6
skill:
0
they picked:
PIT
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Wildes' upset alert is the Chargers beating the Broncos straight up, which he says would hand the No. 1 seed to New England.2 graded calls · Jan 2, 2026

Los Angeles Chargers to win
“Chargers straight up over the Broncos.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-106 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
3-19
skill:
-106
they picked:
LAC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to take the top seed
“The number one seed goes to New England. Yep. That is what would end up happening.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
checked as:
the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
actual tier:
host
difficulty:
1.06
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
1
claimed tier:
bye
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?