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Kevin Wildes· Jan 24, 2026

Wildes predicted the Patriots would rout the Broncos, expecting something like 28-3, and called for no upsets on championship weekend with the Seahawks' defense carrying Seattle past the Rams.

I actually want it to be at 28 to nothing, which I am expecting maybe 28 to three.

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 49.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win

    Much like Chris Broussard, who I've learned a lot from, I too am saying no upsets. Zero upsets. Defense carries the day. ... Patriots and Seahawks combined production this post season.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to win

    Destroy. And I mean route Wow. The Broncos. ... I think it's going to be a route

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots 28 — Denver Broncos 3

    I actually want it to be at 28 to nothing, which I am expecting maybe 28 help Jared. 28 to three.

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 47.69+2.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    2.31
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    25

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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