Matt Harmon

78.75%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

35.83

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 2 articles. 5 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 7

In a snake-draft of the best NFL wide receivers for the 2025 season, Harmon's ten selections (at overall picks 1, 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25 and 28) headlined by Ja'Marr Chase at No. 1 and Nico Collins at No. 4. He also made several depth-chart calls, including Travis Hunter as Jacksonville's No. 2 receiver behind Brian Thomas Jr., and predicted Riley Leonard will make starts for the Colts.4 graded calls · Jun 5, 2025
- “Riley Leonard is probably gonna make starts for this team this year. I mean, I just think that's very much in the range of outcomes.”
  Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  IND
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Riley Leonard
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  QB
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  3
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  passing yards
  naive basis:
  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Michael Pittman's not coming off his best year... He's like a rock solid number two receiver.”
  Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  IND
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Michael Pittman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  2
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  naive basis:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “He will probably be the second fiddle on his team because Brian Thomas Junior is really really good.”
  Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 83.33+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  JAX
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Brian Thomas Jr.
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  83.33
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  3
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  naive basis:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “I feel like it's a little disrespectful to not have Zay Flowers taken even if he is the second best wide receiver on his team.”
  Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  BAL
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Zay Flowers
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  91.67
  baseline:
  100
  position:
  WR
  naive slot:
  1
  actual slot:
  1
  difficulty:
  2
  measured by:
  receptions
  naive basis:
  where he sat last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  predicted slot:
  2
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
Harmon ranks the 2025 wide receiver class with Travis Hunter alone in Tier 1, Tetairoa McMillan second, Emeka Egbuka third and Matthew Golden fourth, with Luther Burden and Jalen Noel as his next tier of late first/early second-round types and Jack Bech, Kyle Williams and Tre Harris squarely on Day 2 ahead of Jayden Higgins.3 graded calls · Apr 16, 2025
- “This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
  Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Jalen Knowle
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  undrafted
  outcome:
  went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  undrafted
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  0
  predicted pick:
  late first rounders, early second rounder types (picks 33–64)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State. This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
  Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2025
  naive:
  a shuffled mock scores 50
  player:
  Luther Burden III
  season:
  2025
  zero at:
  32
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  50
  actual pick:
  39
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  pick accuracy:
  100
  predicted pick:
  late first rounders, early second rounder types (picks 33–64)
  weeks left when called:
  0
  mock ordering score:
  only one pick — no order to score
  Think this grade is wrong?
- “Number one tier of his own is Travis Hunter... The two guys that stick out to me are Tetro McMillan at Arizona and then Amecha Buka at Ohio State... he's my number two receiver... So he's he's my three, and McMillan I have a little bit ahead of him... Golden's my next guy after a BUKA... Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State”
  Scored 90a naive guess scored 50+80 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  a coin-flip ordering scores 50
  skill:
  80
  placed:
  4
  season:
  2025
  players:
  6
  accuracy:
  90
  baseline:
  50
  by position:
  WR 4: 90
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  could not place:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?