Matt Harmon· Apr 16, 2025
Harmon ranks the 2025 wide receiver class with Travis Hunter alone in Tier 1, Tetairoa McMillan second, Emeka Egbuka third and Matthew Golden fourth, with Luther Burden and Jalen Noel as his next tier of late first/early second-round types and Jack Bech, Kyle Williams and Tre Harris squarely on Day 2 ahead of Jayden Higgins.
“Number one tier of his own is Travis Hunter.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 80.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksJaylin NoelApr 16, 2025
Jaylin Noel to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
“This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
Close · 52Scored 52.21a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jaylin Noel
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 52.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 79
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 52.21
- predicted pick:
- late first rounders, early second rounder types (picks 1–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksLuther Burden IIIApr 16, 2025
Luther Burden III to be picked “late first rounders, early second rounder types” (picks 1–64)
“Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State. This is kind of like the guys that I think are late first rounders, early second rounder types.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Luther Burden III
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- late first rounders, early second rounder types (picks 1–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Top Player ListsApr 16, 2025
“Number one tier of his own is Travis Hunter... The two guys that stick out to me are Tetro McMillan at Arizona and then Amecha Buka at Ohio State... he's my number two receiver... So he's he's my three, and McMillan I have a little bit ahead of him... Golden's my next guy after a BUKA... Now, Luther Burden and Jalen Knowle actually out of Iowa State”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 50+80 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 80
- placed:
- 4
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 6
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 4: 90
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksTre HarrisApr 16, 2025
Tre Harris to be picked “squarely day two zone”
“we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksKyle WilliamsApr 16, 2025
Kyle Williams to be picked “squarely day two zone”
“we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksJack BechApr 16, 2025
Jack Bech to be picked “squarely day two zone”
“we're like now in the squarely day two zone... I've got guys like Jack Besh, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
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- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Kyle WilliamsHit · 100An unsigned PFF fantasy preseason recap makes a series of depth-chart and roster-spot calls: Roman Wilson wins the Steelers' third receiver job over Germie Bernard, Robert Tonyan makes Pittsburgh's roster as the third tight end, Kyle Williams and Efton Chism III stick in New England, Mike Washington Jr. is the Raiders' primary backup back, Jalen Nailor stays a Raiders starter, Kaelon Black leads the 49ers' backup running back competition, and Charlie Kolar is the Chargers' top tight end with top-12 fantasy upside.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Kyle WilliamsHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies.
- Ethan HurwitzRoster Spot Calls · Kyle WilliamsHit · 100Hurwitz argues that after two straight preseason touchdowns, second-year receiver Kyle Williams has played his way onto the Patriots' 53-man roster and shouldn't be at risk of the Aug. 30 cuts.
- Lance ZierleinRoster Spot Calls · Jaylin NoelHit · 100Zierlein expects Trevor Goosby, Texas' starting left tackle, to be a first-round NFL draft pick, and thinks Quinn Ewers may struggle to stay on the Dolphins' roster beyond this year. He also predicts the Texans' preseason quarterback usage: C.J. Stroud around 10-12 plays, Davis Mills through the first half, and Brett Rypien for the second half. If Tank Dell isn't ready, he thinks Lewis Bond and Jaden Hall could both make the roster.
- Ethan HurwitzRoster Spot Calls · Kyle WilliamsHit · 100Hurwitz gives his latest 53-man roster projection for the Patriots after the preseason opener, naming who makes the team at each position and slotting rookie Jam Miller as RB3, Karon Prunty as CB4 and Kindle Vildor as CB5.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.