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Matt Harmon· Jun 5, 2025

In a snake-draft of the best NFL wide receivers for the 2025 season, Harmon's ten selections (at overall picks 1, 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25 and 28) headlined by Ja'Marr Chase at No. 1 and Nico Collins at No. 4. He also made several depth-chart calls, including Travis Hunter as Jacksonville's No. 2 receiver behind Brian Thomas Jr., and predicted Riley Leonard will make starts for the Colts.

I'm gonna go ahead and give it Jamar Chase off the top here because he's coming off the best year.

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 84 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Top Player ListsJun 5, 2025

    Harmon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Jamar Chase (1), Nico Collins (4), Amon-Ra St. Brown (7), Malik Nabers (10), Ladd McConkey (13), Garrett Wilson (16), Brandon Aiyuk (19), Chris Godwin (22), Travis Hunter (25), Zay Flowers (28)

    Close · 70Scored 70.24a naive guess scored 50+40.48 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    40.48
    placed:
    8
    season:
    2025
    players:
    10
    accuracy:
    70.24
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    WR 8: 70.24
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Brian Thomas Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart

    He will probably be the second fiddle on his team because Brian Thomas Junior is really really good.

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 83.33+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    JAX
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Brian Thomas Jr.
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Zay Flowers to be 2nd on the depth chart

    I feel like it's a little disrespectful to not have Zay Flowers taken even if he is the second best wide receiver on his team.

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    BAL
    skill:
    -16.67
    player:
    Zay Flowers
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart

    Michael Pittman's not coming off his best year... He's like a rock solid number two receiver.

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Michael Pittman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Riley Leonard to be 1st on the depth chart

    Riley Leonard is probably gonna make starts for this team this year. I mean, I just think that's very much in the range of outcomes.

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    -16.67
    player:
    Riley Leonard
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to be 2nd on the depth chart

    He will probably be the second fiddle on his team because Brian Thomas Junior is really really good... and I think that he will primarily be a wide receiver for the Jacksonville Jaguars.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

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