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Writes at NFL Live (podcast)
Every take from Matt Miller, including the ones still waiting →
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 11
“I think whoever, is the best receiver available for the Dolphins, that's gonna be 11. Mekhi Lemmon is a very popular choice there... which means Miami would go Makai Lemmon”
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“You're also seeing Dylan Thieneman being a a Sharpie pick for the Vikings”
Jadarian Price to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“And I'd like this pick for Minnesota Jadarion Price... would be a really nice draft choice with Dylan Thienham in first round, second round”
Colton Hood to be picked at number 30
“You have them Colton Hood, a corner and thirtieth overall pick from the the, trade of Jalen Waddle to Denver”
Eli Stowers to be picked at number 40
“40 overall, you've got Eli Stowers who we had on the program last week going to Miami”
K.C. Concepcion to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“And and Casey Concepcion to the Giants”
Avieon Terrell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I I think Avion Tyrell, that might be another Sharpie pick, right, with the Chiefs having flipped... getting Ruben Bayne and Adrian Terrell gives them weapons on defense”
Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“The Bills going Omar Cooper Junior that the receiver out of Indiana”
Denzel Boston to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“you you'd throw where Denzel Boston to the Raiders”
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 33
“And then you do have Ty Simpson going, first on the second night... Why do you why do you peg him for the Jets?”
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14
“You got Kenyan Sadique. It'll be the second straight year, an incredibly athletic tight end, goes fourteenth overall... You got Kenyan Sadique going to to Baltimore.”
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 10
“for me this year, it would be Sonny Stiles at ten... So he would be an absolute steal at 10 for the Bengals”
David Bailey to be picked at number 8
“and then Bailey, Bane, and Styles going to the Saints, Chiefs, and Bengals”
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“And then Tate would be available for the Browns? You think that would be Todd Monken's first draft choice as the Browns? I do.”
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“The cardinals do go with Francis Mowonoa from Miami... Yeah. I think given what Arizona has, where they're at right now, there's not a quarterback that they should take here.”
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“that leaves every other Ohio State player available for the Giants, and you think they go downs”
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“You have Jeremiah Love going to Tennessee fourth overall... So I I go back to Love as the best player in this class in my opinion, and they have a need there.”
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“we know it's Fernando Mendoza one”
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 21
“You you do have the, Steelers going tackle, at 21 and Caden Procter”
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“You still think the Jets choose him second overall, Matt? Yeah. I do.”
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 7
“So then you got, the final four of your first, top 10 here. Mansoor delaying going to Washington”
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12
“and then it's whoever the the top two defensive backs are available for the Cowboys at twelve and twenty on their draft board... Getting McCoy in there”
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9
“and then Bailey, Bane, and Styles going to the Saints, Chiefs, and Bengals... getting Ruben Bayne and Adrian Terrell gives them weapons on defense”
Carson Beck to be picked “starts off the third round” (picks 65–96)
“I think he starts off the third round for me going to the Arizona Cardinals”
Drew Allar to be picked “second round choice” (picks 33–64)
“and then you have the Rams using a second round choice on Drew Aller of Penn State”
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 53
“You would have Garrett Nussmeyer being the choice... for the Steelers fifty third overall”
Francis Mauigoa to be picked “he will not get very far out of the top five” (picks 1–5)
“I have a strong feeling that he will not get very far out of the top five.”
Mike Washington to be picked “probably a second round pick” (picks 33–64)
“So he's the only other player that I think we could look at right now is saying probably a second round pick for Mike Washington”
Jadarian Price to be picked “a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick” (picks 1–40)
“And Jarian Price should be a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick.”
Jadarian Price to be 2nd running back off the board
“We'll see the two Notre Dame backs go one, two, I think, is the expectation. And Jarian Price should be a top 40 selection, maybe even a late first round pick.”
Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board
“We'll see the two Notre Dame backs go one, two, I think, is the expectation.”
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“So the Jets at two in your mock, you have Arbel Reese. ... And for the Jets, that's exactly what he could be.”
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“Jeremiah Love, you have him winding up in New Orleans... why would Kellen Moore pass on an offensive weapon like this guy at eight? And your your thought is he won't. They won't.”
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“On the third overall selection, you wind up with Maui Goa going from, the left side of the Miami offensive line going to Arizona.”
Ty Simpson to be picked “barely in the first round” (picks 1–32)
“is is Simpson in your first round? Barely.”
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Your mock draft, you have Fernando Mendoza at one.”
Carnell Tate to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Cornell Tate, you have them going receiver rather than Caleb Downs ... I look at Cornell Tate as a six foot three, two hundred pound, excellent route runner, opposite the speed of Malik Neighbors.”
Sonny Styles to be picked “a top eight player” (picks 1–8)
“Sonny Styles, the linebacker from Ohio State's a top eight player.”
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“We know Mendoza is gonna go first. He's not pushing up there, but he puts himself in that conversation as a viable franchise quarterback.”
Malik Muhammad to be picked “a second round guy” (picks 33–64)
“I think if Malik Mohammed can hit four fives, it's gonna be a really, really good number for him. That's gonna help his stock, and he could be a second round guy.”
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 8
“Oh, man. Five? Five, six? I had him at eight overall.”
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20
“I think I have him as, like, right around 20 overall on my board.”