Matt Miller · Mar 31, 2026
In his 2026 seven-round mock draft, Miller has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Francis Mauigoa to Arizona at No. 3, Jeremiah Love to Tennessee at No. 4, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Carnell Tate to the Browns at No. 6, and a series of other first- and second-round picks including Ty Simpson to the Jets at the top of round two.
“So I go back to Love as the best player in this class in my opinion, and they have a need there.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
27 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaMar 31, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“we know it's Fernando Mendoza one”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveTennessee TitansMar 31, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“You have Jeremiah Love going to Tennessee fourth overall... So I I go back to Love as the best player in this class in my opinion, and they have a need there.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York GiantsMar 31, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“that leaves every other Ohio State player available for the Giants, and you think they go downs”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksFrancis MauigoaArizona CardinalsMar 31, 2026
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“The cardinals do go with Francis Mowonoa from Miami... Yeah. I think given what Arizona has, where they're at right now, there's not a quarterback that they should take here.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateCleveland BrownsMar 31, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“And then Tate would be available for the Browns? You think that would be Todd Monken's first draft choice as the Browns? I do.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyNew Orleans SaintsMar 31, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 8
“and then Bailey, Bane, and Styles going to the Saints, Chiefs, and Bengals”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesCincinnati BengalsMar 31, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 10
“for me this year, it would be Sonny Stiles at ten... So he would be an absolute steal at 10 for the Bengals”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonMiami DolphinsMar 31, 2026
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 11
“I think whoever, is the best receiver available for the Dolphins, that's gonna be 11. Mekhi Lemmon is a very popular choice there... which means Miami would go Makai Lemmon”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqBaltimore RavensMar 31, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14
“You got Kenyan Sadique. It'll be the second straight year, an incredibly athletic tight end, goes fourteenth overall... You got Kenyan Sadique going to to Baltimore.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksKadyn ProctorPittsburgh SteelersMar 31, 2026
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 21
“You you do have the, Steelers going tackle, at 21 and Caden Procter”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Kadyn Proctor
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonNew York JetsMar 31, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 33
“And then you do have Ty Simpson going, first on the second night... Why do you why do you peg him for the Jets?”
Close · 42Scored 42.04 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 42.04
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 42.04
- predicted pick:
- 33
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksDenzel BostonLas Vegas RaidersMar 31, 2026
Denzel Boston to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“you you'd throw where Denzel Boston to the Raiders”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksOmar CooperBuffalo BillsMar 31, 2026
Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“The Bills going Omar Cooper Junior that the receiver out of Indiana”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Omar Cooper
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 30
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksAvieon TerrellKansas City ChiefsMar 31, 2026
Avieon Terrell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I I think Avion Tyrell, that might be another Sharpie pick, right, with the Chiefs having flipped... getting Ruben Bayne and Adrian Terrell gives them weapons on defense”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Avieon Terrell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 48
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 50
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksK.C. ConcepcionNew York GiantsMar 31, 2026
K.C. Concepcion to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“And and Casey Concepcion to the Giants”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- K.C. Concepcion
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 24
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksEli StowersMiami DolphinsMar 31, 2026
Eli Stowers to be picked at number 40
“40 overall, you've got Eli Stowers who we had on the program last week going to Miami”
Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Eli Stowers
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 54.53
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 54
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 54.53
- predicted pick:
- 40
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksColton HoodMiami DolphinsMar 31, 2026
Colton Hood to be picked at number 30
“You have them Colton Hood, a corner and thirtieth overall pick from the the, trade of Jalen Waddle to Denver”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Colton Hood
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 37
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksJadarian PriceMinnesota VikingsMar 31, 2026
Jadarian Price to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“And I'd like this pick for Minnesota Jadarion Price... would be a really nice draft choice with Dylan Thienham in first round, second round”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Jadarian Price
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 32
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“You're also seeing Dylan Thieneman being a a Sharpie pick for the Vikings”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 53
“You would have Garrett Nussmeyer being the choice... for the Steelers fifty third overall”
Miss · 0Scored 0.02 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Garrett Nussmeier
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.02
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 249
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.02
- predicted pick:
- 53
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksDrew AllarLos Angeles RamsMar 31, 2026
Drew Allar to be picked “second round choice” (picks 33–64)
“and then you have the Rams using a second round choice on Drew Aller of Penn State”
Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Drew Allar
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 59.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 76
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 59.46
- predicted pick:
- second round choice (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksCarson BeckArizona CardinalsMar 31, 2026
Carson Beck to be picked “starts off the third round” (picks 65–96)
“I think he starts off the third round for me going to the Arizona Cardinals”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Carson Beck
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with ARI
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- starts off the third round (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksRueben BainKansas City ChiefsMar 31, 2026
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9
“and then Bailey, Bane, and Styles going to the Saints, Chiefs, and Bengals... getting Ruben Bayne and Adrian Terrell gives them weapons on defense”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksJermod McCoyDallas CowboysMar 31, 2026
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12
“and then it's whoever the the top two defensive backs are available for the Cowboys at twelve and twenty on their draft board... Getting McCoy in there”
Miss · 2Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 2.12
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 101
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 2.12
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 7
“So then you got, the final four of your first, top 10 here. Mansoor delaying going to Washington”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsMar 31, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“You still think the Jets choose him second overall, Matt? Yeah. I do.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.62 against a shuffle’s 50+41.62 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.62
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.62
Eli Stowers to make Pro Bowl
“If you could get him in Miami at this spot, I think that's that's a potential Pro Bowl player.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.