Nick Wright Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Nick Wright

Nick Wright covers the NFL with a focus on quarterback evaluations and team rankings. His predictions span game outcomes, draft positions, season win totals, and player awards, with particular attention to the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Chicago Bears. He weighs in on questions like Patrick Mahomes versus Josh Allen and the trajectory of young quarterbacks like Caleb Williams and Drake Maye.

Writes at Fox Sports

Every take from Nick Wright, including the ones still waiting →

Is Nick Wright accurate? Across 419 graded calls in 63 articles, Nick Wright scores 57.7% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 6.85, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

57.7%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

6.85

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

419

Graded calls

across 63 articles. 384 more not yet settled.

93.44% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Game Outcome Picks138 graded57.55 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks95 graded82.26 accuracy
Season Win Totals50 graded43.63 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Nick Wright keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Kansas City Chiefs+72
Outside the room in 7 of 27 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Baltimore Ravens+74
Outside the room in 6 of 18 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 419

8 of 71 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 13.

Wright picked Tampa Bay to beat Cincinnati outright, Philadelphia to beat Washington, Dallas to beat the Giants, and said he was one of the few nationally to pick the Chiefs to win it all.3 graded calls · Sep 11, 2026
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win
  “I think the Bucks are better than Cincinnati... again, I don't need outright winners even though I do think Bucks going outright.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  CIN
  score:
  27-33
  skill:
  -200
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  CIN
  difficulty: