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Nick Wright· Apr 24, 2026

Nick Wright predicts the Chiefs take Ruben Bain Jr. at No. 9 overall, that Carnell Tate will be gone before pick nine, and that Fernando Mendoza will settle in as roughly the 12th-best quarterback in the NFL in his prime rather than an MVP candidate. He also gave a series of NBA playoff picks, including the Lakers winning their series with Houston, the Celtics beating Philadelphia in five, and the Nuggets and Celtics reaching the Finals.

I believe Ruben Bain Junior is going to be the pick.

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 77.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
9They said
15What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    I believe Ruben Bain Junior is going to be there. I think Rubyen Bain Junior is going to be the pick... He is the guy will have the Chiefs taking in the final mock draft I do.

    Close · 77Scored 77.11a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fernando Mendoza to finish top 12 at his position, by passing yards

    I think, you know, he'll probably you know, in his prime, be you know, like the twelfth best quarterback in the NFL, which is solid

    Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carnell Tate to be picked “off the board before the ninth pick”

    If Carnel Tate is there at nine, I believe they will take him. I do not think he will be there at nine.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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