Nick Wright· Sep 2, 2026
In an AFC over/under draft, Wright took the Ravens over 11.5 (13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed), Bengals under, Jaguars over (10 wins and a playoff berth), Chargers under, Chiefs over (12 wins, beating Denver in Week 1), Broncos over (10 wins and a playoff spot), and Patriots under, while also projecting the Bills to win the AFC East with 11 wins.
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
16 checkable claims — 11 season win totals, 2 playoff picks, 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 9 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 5 and below it on 4.
Where this call stands in the room
New England Patriots · 2026 season · wins10 calls from 6 pundits between 9 wins and 14 wins. Nick Wright said 10 wins. the room's median is 9.7 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
16 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 2, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to win
“They are going to start the season off beating Denver... Week one, Monday night football in Arrowhead against the Broncos... I think they win that game”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsBaltimore RavensSep 2, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games. So I have the Baltimore Ravens over 11 and a half with the first pick of the over under AFC draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldBaltimore RavensSep 2, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to take the top seed
“And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsCincinnati BengalsSep 2, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with ? wins
“I think the Bengals win eight, nine games. I'm under 10 and a half.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersSep 2, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins
“So you're, I might've actually picked the Steelers, but it's because I think I projected them to go six and 11.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsLos Angeles ChargersSep 2, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins
“I think that they win eight– I don't know if we have them eight and nine or nine and eight”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsDenver BroncosSep 2, 2026
Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins
“that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosSep 2, 2026
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsIndianapolis ColtsSep 2, 2026
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins
“Listen, I have them going 7-10, so I don't have a big disagreement.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 2, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsSep 2, 2026
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“I'm going under on your New England Patriots. And barely. I think they're going to win 10 games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsHouston TexansSep 2, 2026
Houston Texans to finish with ? wins
“I am more confident... that they'll win 10-plus games than I am that they'll be a good postseason team”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsJacksonville JaguarsSep 2, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins
“but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsSep 2, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
“But I think they'll be 5-0 going into that and then go 7-5 the rest of the way. That's 12 wins.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsBuffalo BillsSep 2, 2026
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
“I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division. And I think they're going to win 11 games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 2, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“they are still the class of the AFC East. I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jack KiserMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Keenan AllenHit · 100Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Jared DubinDepth Chart Calls · Daniel FaaleleMiss · 0Dubin grades the Faalele trade, predicting Faalele has a decent chance to be Jacksonville's Week 1 starting right guard in competition with Wyatt Milum, and that Evan Neal's odds of making the Giants' 53-man roster improved while Jon Runyan and Francis Mauigoa hold the Giants' starting guard jobs.
- Noah ComptonDepth Chart Calls · C.J. AllenMiss · 0After watching the Colts' eleventh training camp practice, Compton says rookie linebacker CJ Allen is still expected to start the regular-season opener, identifies Alec Pierce as the team's top receiver and Cam Taylor-Britt as the first cornerback behind the starting trio, and declares the kicking job Blake Grupe's to lose.
- John ShipleyDepth Chart Calls · Patrick MekariMiss · 0Shipley projects second-year cornerback Jabbar Muhammad to make the Jaguars' 53-man roster and describes him as the team's clear No. 5 cornerback, a role that would earn him a game-day jersey. He also identifies Patrick Mekari, Walker Little and Ezra Cleveland as projected Week 1 offensive line starters.
- Mason CameronDepth Chart Calls · Ethan PocicMiss · 0An unsigned PFF piece ranks the NFL's top 32 centers heading into the 2026 season, with Creed Humphrey first for the fourth straight year, and names Ethan Pocic and Austin Schlottmann as the favorites to win starting center jobs in Baltimore and Tennessee.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- JP AcostaSeason Win Totals · New York GiantsClose · 40Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.
- Rich EisenSeason Win Totals · New Orleans SaintsClose · 40Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff.
- Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals · New Orleans SaintsClose · 40Brockman floated the 49ers as the team to beat in the NFC after their Sunday night win, predicted James Cook would lead the league in rushing, and said Tyler Shough will win Rookie of the Year with the Saints finishing above .500 next season.
- Rich EisenSeason Win Totals · Chicago BearsHit · 80Rich Eisen gave his Week 15 top-10 power rankings, installing the Rams at No. 1 as the best team in football, adding the Jaguars and keeping the Bears despite their loss, while dropping the Cowboys and Eagles off the list. He also projected 10-win seasons for both Chicago and Jacksonville and said the Jaguars would handle the Jets at home.
- Rich EisenSeason Win Totals · Carolina PanthersClose · 60Eisen picked the Colts as the AFC's top seed, named Jonathan Taylor a top-three MVP finisher, said this season puts Matthew Stafford in the Hall of Fame, kept the NFC North as Detroit's division, and had Tampa Bay as the NFC South playoff team while allowing Carolina could reach 10 wins.
- Andrew SantinoSeason Win Totals · Chicago BearsHit · 100Santino, as recounted on the show, predicted in May that the Bears would finish 11-6.