Rich Davis
44.17%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
-37.75
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
4
Graded calls
across 2 articles. 5 more not yet settled.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 4
“I like Buffalo. I think Josh Allen's a man on a mission... I think Josh Allen thirty four seventeen.”
Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 97.69-81.02 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -81.02
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 97.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 17
“I am going road dog style. I think the Texans win eleven in a row. I like Houston.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I'm loving the Bears here. I'm going Bears. I think not only they cover, I think they win the game.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“But I mean, let's say I would be already established Steelers are a nine to ten win team easily.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18