Rich Davis · Jan 17, 2026
Rich picked all four road underdogs: Bills 34-17 over Denver, the Niners at Seattle, the Texans in New England and the Bears to beat the Rams outright.
“I have the Bills, Niners, Texans Bears.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsJan 17, 2026
“I'm loving the Bears here. I'm going Bears. I think not only they cover, I think they win the game.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansJan 17, 2026
“I am going road dog style. I think the Texans win eleven in a row. I like Houston.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsJan 17, 2026
“I like Buffalo. I think Josh Allen's a man on a mission... I think Josh Allen thirty four seventeen.”
Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 97.69-81.02 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -81.02
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 97.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersJan 17, 2026
“But you know where I'm going. I'm going forty nine ers... I'm going with my heart on this one.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.