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Rich Davis· Jan 24, 2026

Rich called the Broncos an upset special over the Patriots 20-14 in a defensive game, and had the Rams beating the Seahawks 31-21. He also chose the Falcons for the most wins next season among the three listed teams.

I think Broncos win twenty fourteen defensive battle.

said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 2 score predictions and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 39.3 out of 100, against 71.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Rams 31 — Seahawks 21

    I think the Rams step it up, and I think Rams thirty one twenty one.

    Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 95.3-59.59 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    -59.59
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    95.3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos 20 — Patriots 14

    I think this is an upset special. I think Broncos twenty to fourteen... I think Broncos win twenty fourteen defensive battle.

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 47.69-4.83 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    -4.83
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Atlanta Falcons to finish with ? wins

    I love Frenanda Mendoza, and I want the Raiders to really turn around. They have a tough division. The NFC South stinks Falcons. No brainer.

    Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.

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What others said about the same people

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