Rich Hribar Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Rich Hribar

Rich Hribar is an experienced fantasy football analyst and prognosticator who uses advanced analytics and deep data analysis to uncover edges in the fantasy marketplace. His work appears at Sharp Football Analysis, where he publishes "The Worksheet" — an intensely researched weekly breakdown that has become a staple for fantasy players chasing an edge. He also contributes to The Herd with Colin Cowherd's podcast. By his own account, he's been a go-to resource for DFS tournament winners and season-long champions, with over 500 articles and videos to his name across respected fantasy outlets. His predictions span the full range of fantasy concerns: player season stats, positional finishes, sleepers and busts, depth chart projections, and draft rankings. We've tracked his work since early 2020, covering players like Josh Allen, Christian McCaffrey, and Saquon Barkley across teams from the 49ers to the Bills.

Writes at Sharp Football Analysis

Every take from Rich Hribar, including the ones still waiting →

Is Rich Hribar accurate? Across 65 graded calls in 9 articles, Rich Hribar scores 75.21% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 25.23, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

75.21%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

25.23

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 9 articles. 175 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

96.39% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Player Season Numbers43 graded48.99 accuracy
Fantasy Rankings10 graded67.82 accuracy
Sleeper Calls5 graded80 accuracy

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 57 ┄latest form: 41

Graded calls · 65

1 of 9 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 2.

Hribar published full statistical projections and fantasy rankings for 500+ players for the 2024 NFL season, ordering quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends by projected fantasy points and projecting individual passing, rushing and receiving lines.47 graded calls · Sep 1, 2024
- Mark Andrews to record 1,036.1 receiving yards
  “Mark Andrews BAL TE ... 123.1 84.9 1,036.1 8.5”
  Miss · 30Scored 29.91a naive guess scored 16.98+25.86 skill
  How this was scored
  naive:
  393.63
  skill:
  25.86
  what happened:
  673
  player:
  Mark Andrews
  season:
  2024
  accuracy:
  29.91
  baseline:
  16.98
  predicted:
  1036.1