Rich Hribar· Sep 1, 2024

Hribar published full statistical projections and fantasy rankings for 500+ players for the 2024 NFL season, ordering quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends by projected fantasy points and projecting individual passing, rushing and receiving lines.

“The table below has my fantasy football projections for all quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends.”

published in writing · Sharp Football Analysis · read the original (as archived Nov 8, 2024) → · live page (has changed since this capture)

47 checkable claims — 43 player season numbers and 4 fantasy rankings — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 34 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 47 have settled, averaging 50.2 out of 100, against 34.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

receiving tds

11.2They said

17What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

47 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Player Season Numbers Ja'Marr Chase Cincinnati BengalsSep 1, 2024
Ja'Marr Chase to record 11.2 receiving tds
“Ja'Marr Chase ... 1,404.1 11.2”
Miss · 32Scored 31.76a naive guess scored 0+63.53 skill
How this was scored
naive:
5.47
skill:
63.53
what happened:
17
player:
Ja'Marr Chase
season:
2024
accuracy:
31.76
baseline:
0
predicted:
11.2
statistic:
receiving_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
7
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
3.95
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers CeeDee Lamb Dallas CowboysSep 1, 2024
CeeDee Lamb to record 10.7 receiving tds
“CeeDee Lamb ... 1,643.1 10.7”
Miss · 12Scored 12.15a naive guess scored 50.48-76.67 skill
How this was scored
naive:
7.97
skill:
-76.67
what happened:
6
player:
CeeDee Lamb
season:
2024
accuracy:
12.15
baseline:
50.48
predicted:
10.7
statistic:
receiving_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
12
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
3.95
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Sam LaPorta Detroit LionsSep 1, 2024
Sam LaPorta to record 9.4 receiving tds
“Sam LaPorta ... 999.1 9.4”
Close · 49Scored 48.94a naive guess scored 82.37-66.86 skill
How this was scored
naive:
6.38
skill:
-66.86
what happened:
7
player:
Sam LaPorta
season:
2024
accuracy:
48.94
baseline:
82.37
predicted:
9.4
statistic:
receiving_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
10
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
2.77
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Jonathan Taylor Indianapolis ColtsSep 1, 2024
Jonathan Taylor to record 1,223.2 rushing yards
“Jonathan Taylor IND RB ... 271.8 1,223.2 9.5”
Close · 71Scored 70.96a naive guess scored 0+141.91 skill
How this was scored
naive:
565.82
skill:
141.91
what happened:
1431
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2024
accuracy:
70.96
baseline:
0
predicted:
1223.2
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
741
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
390.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Jalen Hurts Philadelphia EaglesSep 1, 2024
Jalen Hurts to record 11.2 rushing tds
“Jalen Hurts ... 673.3 11.2”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 28.37+63.25 skill
How this was scored
naive:
8.99
skill:
63.25
what happened:
14
player:
Jalen Hurts
season:
2024
accuracy:
60
baseline:
28.37
predicted:
11.2
statistic:
rushing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
15
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
2.97
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Josh Allen Buffalo BillsSep 1, 2024
Josh Allen to record 28.2 passing tds
“Josh Allen BUF QB ... 28.2”
Hit · 99Scored 98.58a naive guess scored 52.3+92.56 skill
How this was scored
naive:
21.32
skill:
92.56
what happened:
28
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2024
accuracy:
98.58
baseline:
52.3
predicted:
28.2
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
29
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Tyreek Hill Miami DolphinsSep 1, 2024
Tyreek Hill to record 119.8 receptions
“Tyreek Hill ... 119.8 1,701.0”
Miss · 35Scored 35.23a naive guess scored 84.7-98.95 skill
How this was scored
naive:
74.8
skill:
-98.95
what happened:
81
player:
Tyreek Hill
season:
2024
accuracy:
35.23
baseline:
84.7
predicted:
119.8
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
119
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
30.61
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Lamar Jackson Baltimore RavensSep 1, 2024
Lamar Jackson to record 851.9 rushing yards
“Lamar Jackson BAL QB ... 139.7 851.9 4.2”
Hit · 86Scored 86.21a naive guess scored 7.46+157.49 skill
How this was scored
naive:
491.64
skill:
157.49
what happened:
915
player:
Lamar Jackson
season:
2024
accuracy:
86.21
baseline:
7.46
predicted:
851.9
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
821
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
162.28
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy RankingsSep 1, 2024
“Josh Allen BUF QB 374.2 ... Jalen Hurts PHI QB 370.5 ... Patrick Mahomes KC QB 334.0 ... Aaron Rodgers NYJ QB 287.5”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 50+20 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
20
placed:
15
season:
2024
players:
15
accuracy:
60
baseline:
50
by position:
QB 15: 60
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Derrick Henry Baltimore RavensSep 1, 2024
Derrick Henry to record 1,163.1 rushing yards
“Derrick Henry BAL RB ... 264.3 1,163.1 11.6”
Miss · 21Scored 21.09a naive guess scored 0+42.19 skill
How this was scored
naive:
778.82
skill:
42.19
what happened:
1921
player:
Derrick Henry
season:
2024
accuracy:
21.09
baseline:
0
predicted:
1163.1
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1167
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
390.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Saquon Barkley Philadelphia EaglesSep 1, 2024
Saquon Barkley to record 1,174.1 rushing yards
“Saquon Barkley PHI RB ... 266.8 1,174.1 6.7”
Miss · 17Scored 17.12a naive guess scored 0+34.23 skill
How this was scored
naive:
676.32
skill:
34.23
what happened:
2005
player:
Saquon Barkley
season:
2024
accuracy:
17.12
baseline:
0
predicted:
1174.1
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
962
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
390.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Jalen Hurts Philadelphia EaglesSep 1, 2024
Jalen Hurts to record 4,069.2 passing yards
“Jalen Hurts PHI QB ... 4,069.2”
Close · 43Scored 42.68a naive guess scored 91.12-96.88 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2774.12
skill:
-96.88
what happened:
2903
player:
Jalen Hurts
season:
2024
accuracy:
42.68
baseline:
91.12
predicted:
4069.2
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
3858
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1690.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Tyreek Hill Miami DolphinsSep 1, 2024
Tyreek Hill to record 1,701 receiving yards
“Tyreek Hill MIA WR ... 173.6 119.8 1,701.0 9.6”
Miss · 13Scored 12.76a naive guess scored 75.65-125.78 skill
How this was scored
naive:
1091.95
skill:
-125.78
what happened:
959
player:
Tyreek Hill
season:
2024
accuracy:
12.76
baseline:
75.65
predicted:
1701
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1799
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
384.91
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Anthony Richardson Indianapolis ColtsSep 1, 2024
Anthony Richardson to record 877.8 rushing yards
“Anthony Richardson IND QB ... 159.6 877.8 9.6”
Miss · 14Scored 13.69a naive guess scored 0+27.39 skill
How this was scored
naive:
149.14
skill:
27.39
what happened:
499
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2024
accuracy:
13.69
baseline:
0
predicted:
877.8
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
136
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
162.28
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Christian McCaffrey San Francisco 49ersSep 1, 2024
Christian McCaffrey to record 586.4 receiving yards
“Christian McCaffrey ... 586.4 4.5”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
357.16
skill:
0
what happened:
146
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
586.4
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
564
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
150.31
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Josh Allen Buffalo BillsSep 1, 2024
Josh Allen to record 10.2 rushing tds
“Josh Allen ... 537.6 10.2”
Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 49.77+40.46 skill
How this was scored
naive:
8.99
skill:
40.46
what happened:
12
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2024
accuracy:
70
baseline:
49.77
predicted:
10.2
statistic:
rushing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
15
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
2.97
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy RankingsSep 1, 2024
“Travis Kelce KC TE 205.2 ... Sam LaPorta DET TE 203.6 ... Pat Freiermuth PIT TE 129.9”
Close · 66Scored 65.73a naive guess scored 50+31.47 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
31.47
placed:
12
season:
2024
players:
12
accuracy:
65.73
baseline:
50
by position:
TE 12: 65.73
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers C.J. Stroud Houston TexansSep 1, 2024
C.J. Stroud to record 4,895.1 passing yards
“C.J. Stroud HOU QB ... 4,895.1”
Close · 52Scored 52.27a naive guess scored 55.57-6.6 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2899.12
skill:
-6.6
what happened:
3727
player:
C.J. Stroud
season:
2024
accuracy:
52.27
baseline:
55.57
predicted:
4895.1
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
4108
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1690.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Ja'Marr Chase Cincinnati BengalsSep 1, 2024
Ja'Marr Chase to record 1,404.1 receiving yards
“Ja'Marr Chase CIN WR ... 170.2 112.3 1,404.1 11.2”
Close · 64Scored 64.41a naive guess scored 0+128.83 skill
How this was scored
naive:
800.45
skill:
128.83
what happened:
1708
player:
Ja'Marr Chase
season:
2024
accuracy:
64.41
baseline:
0
predicted:
1404.1
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1216
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
384.91
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Josh Allen Buffalo BillsSep 1, 2024
Josh Allen to record 537.6 rushing yards
“Josh Allen ... 107.5 537.6 10.2”
Hit · 98Scored 97.54a naive guess scored 29.24+136.6 skill
How this was scored
naive:
343.14
skill:
136.6
what happened:
531
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2024
accuracy:
97.54
baseline:
29.24
predicted:
537.6
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
524
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
162.28
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers C.J. Stroud Houston TexansSep 1, 2024
C.J. Stroud to record 30.4 passing tds
“C.J. Stroud ... 30.4 9.1”
Miss · 32Scored 31.58a naive guess scored 83.22-103.28 skill
How this was scored
naive:
18.32
skill:
-103.28
what happened:
20
player:
C.J. Stroud
season:
2024
accuracy:
31.58
baseline:
83.22
predicted:
30.4
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
23
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Jalen Hurts Philadelphia EaglesSep 1, 2024
Jalen Hurts to record 673.3 rushing yards
“Jalen Hurts ... 149.6 673.3 11.2”
Hit · 87Scored 87.14a naive guess scored 21.79+130.7 skill
How this was scored
naive:
383.64
skill:
130.7
what happened:
630
player:
Jalen Hurts
season:
2024
accuracy:
87.14
baseline:
21.79
predicted:
673.3
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
605
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
162.28
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Mark Andrews Baltimore RavensSep 1, 2024
Mark Andrews to record 1,036.1 receiving yards
“Mark Andrews BAL TE ... 123.1 84.9 1,036.1 8.5”
Miss · 30Scored 29.91a naive guess scored 16.98+25.86 skill
How this was scored
naive:
393.63
skill:
25.86
what happened:
673
player:
Mark Andrews
season:
2024
accuracy:
29.91
baseline:
16.98
predicted:
1036.1
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
544
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
243.26
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Travis Kelce Kansas City ChiefsSep 1, 2024
Travis Kelce to record 96.3 receptions
“Travis Kelce ... 96.3 1,079.0”
Hit · 99Scored 98.56a naive guess scored 20.84+155.42 skill
How this was scored
naive:
58.61
skill:
155.42
what happened:
97
player:
Travis Kelce
season:
2024
accuracy:
98.56
baseline:
20.84
predicted:
96.3
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
93
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
24.22
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Patrick Mahomes Kansas City ChiefsSep 1, 2024
Patrick Mahomes to record 4,752.7 passing yards
“Patrick Mahomes KC QB ... 4,752.7”
Close · 65Scored 65.3a naive guess scored 49.52+31.55 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2936.62
skill:
31.55
what happened:
3928
player:
Patrick Mahomes
season:
2024
accuracy:
65.3
baseline:
49.52
predicted:
4752.7
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
4183
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1690.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Christian McCaffrey San Francisco 49ersSep 1, 2024
Christian McCaffrey to record 69 receptions
“Christian McCaffrey ... 86.2 69.0 586.4 4.5”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
42.93
skill:
0
what happened:
15
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
69
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
18.86
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy RankingsSep 1, 2024
“Christian McCaffrey SF RB 306.2 ... Breece Hall NYJ RB 267.0 ... David Montgomery DET RB 171.1”
Close · 57Scored 57.29a naive guess scored 50+14.59 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
14.59
placed:
20
season:
2024
players:
20
accuracy:
57.29
baseline:
50
by position:
RB 20: 57.29
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Travis Kelce Kansas City ChiefsSep 1, 2024
Travis Kelce to record 1,079 receiving yards
“Travis Kelce KC TE ... 133.8 96.3 1,079.0 8.2”
Close · 53Scored 52.55a naive guess scored 49.12+6.86 skill
How this was scored
naive:
613.63
skill:
6.86
what happened:
823
player:
Travis Kelce
season:
2024
accuracy:
52.55
baseline:
49.12
predicted:
1079
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
984
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
243.26
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Breece Hall New York JetsSep 1, 2024
Breece Hall to record 1,188.5 rushing yards
“Breece Hall NYJ RB ... 258.4 1,188.5 9.0”
Close · 47Scored 47.41a naive guess scored 58.06-21.3 skill
How this was scored
naive:
692.32
skill:
-21.3
what happened:
876
player:
Breece Hall
season:
2024
accuracy:
47.41
baseline:
58.06
predicted:
1188.5
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
994
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
390.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Justin Jefferson Minnesota VikingsSep 1, 2024
Justin Jefferson to record 1,665.2 receiving yards
“Justin Jefferson MIN WR ... 184.0 114.1 1,665.2 8.6”
Hit · 84Scored 84.12a naive guess scored 0+168.24 skill
How this was scored
naive:
729.45
skill:
168.24
what happened:
1533
player:
Justin Jefferson
season:
2024
accuracy:
84.12
baseline:
0
predicted:
1665.2
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1074
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
384.91
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy RankingsSep 1, 2024
“CeeDee Lamb DAL WR 303.6 ... Tyreek Hill MIA WR 291.2 ... Nico Collins HOU WR 200.6”
Close · 70Scored 69.92a naive guess scored 50+39.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
39.85
placed:
20
season:
2024
players:
20
accuracy:
69.92
baseline:
50
by position:
WR 20: 69.92
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Amon-Ra St. Brown Detroit LionsSep 1, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown to record 1,415.7 receiving yards
“Amon-Ra St. Brown ... 1,415.7 8.7”
Close · 78Scored 78.43a naive guess scored 50.43+56 skill
How this was scored
naive:
949.95
skill:
56
what happened:
1263
player:
Amon-Ra St. Brown
season:
2024
accuracy:
78.43
baseline:
50.43
predicted:
1415.7
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1515
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
384.91
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Sam LaPorta Detroit LionsSep 1, 2024
Sam LaPorta to record 999.1 receiving yards
“Sam LaPorta DET TE ... 132.7 94.3 999.1 9.4”
Close · 45Scored 45.33a naive guess scored 55.96-21.26 skill
How this was scored
naive:
566.13
skill:
-21.26
what happened:
726
player:
Sam LaPorta
season:
2024
accuracy:
45.33
baseline:
55.96
predicted:
999.1
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
889
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
243.26
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Justin Jefferson Minnesota VikingsSep 1, 2024
Justin Jefferson to record 114.1 receptions
“Justin Jefferson ... 114.1 1,665.2”
Hit · 81Scored 80.54a naive guess scored 0+161.09 skill
How this was scored
naive:
49.3
skill:
161.09
what happened:
103
player:
Justin Jefferson
season:
2024
accuracy:
80.54
baseline:
0
predicted:
114.1
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
68
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
30.61
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Breece Hall New York JetsSep 1, 2024
Breece Hall to record 65.6 receptions
“Breece Hall ... 91.1 65.6 504.9”
Close · 74Scored 73.78a naive guess scored 66.42+14.72 skill
How this was scored
naive:
47.43
skill:
14.72
what happened:
57
player:
Breece Hall
season:
2024
accuracy:
73.78
baseline:
66.42
predicted:
65.6
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
76
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
18.86
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Bijan Robinson Atlanta FalconsSep 1, 2024
Bijan Robinson to record 1,062.6 rushing yards
“Bijan Robinson ATL RB ... 231.0 1,062.6 6.9”
Close · 46Scored 45.96a naive guess scored 0+91.92 skill
How this was scored
naive:
683.32
skill:
91.92
what happened:
1456
player:
Bijan Robinson
season:
2024
accuracy:
45.96
baseline:
0
predicted:
1062.6
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
976
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
390.64
zero at percent out:
50
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Player Season Numbers Patrick Mahomes Kansas City ChiefsSep 1, 2024
Patrick Mahomes to record 31.9 passing tds
“Patrick Mahomes ... 31.9”
Close · 63Scored 63.01a naive guess scored 56.32+13.37 skill
How this was scored
naive:
20.32
skill:
13.37
what happened:
26
player:
Patrick Mahomes
season:
2024
accuracy:
63.01
baseline:
56.32
predicted:
31.9
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
27
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
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Player Season Numbers Amon-Ra St. Brown Detroit LionsSep 1, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown to record 124.2 receptions
“Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR ... 169.0 124.2 1,415.7 8.7”
Hit · 85Scored 85.19a naive guess scored 30.09+110.18 skill
How this was scored
naive:
74.8
skill:
110.18
what happened:
115
player:
Amon-Ra St. Brown
season:
2024
accuracy:
85.19
baseline:
30.09
predicted:
124.2
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
119
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
30.61
zero at percent out:
50
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Player Season Numbers Christian McCaffrey San Francisco 49ersSep 1, 2024
Christian McCaffrey to record 10.6 rushing tds
“Christian McCaffrey ... 1,276.7 10.6”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
9.37
skill:
0
what happened:
0
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
10.6
statistic:
rushing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
14
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
4.74
zero at percent out:
50
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Player Season Numbers CeeDee Lamb Dallas CowboysSep 1, 2024
CeeDee Lamb to record 1,643.1 receiving yards
“CeeDee Lamb ... 1,643.1 10.7”
Close · 45Scored 45.34a naive guess scored 78.72-66.77 skill
How this was scored
naive:
1066.95
skill:
-66.77
what happened:
1194
player:
CeeDee Lamb
season:
2024
accuracy:
45.34
baseline:
78.72
predicted:
1643.1
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1749
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
384.91
zero at percent out:
50
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Player Season Numbers Josh Allen Buffalo BillsSep 1, 2024
Josh Allen to record 4,472.1 passing yards
“Josh Allen BUF QB ... 4,472.1”
Close · 67Scored 66.86a naive guess scored 60.71+12.29 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2998.12
skill:
12.29
what happened:
3731
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2024
accuracy:
66.86
baseline:
60.71
predicted:
4472.1
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
4306
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1690.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Christian McCaffrey San Francisco 49ersSep 1, 2024
Christian McCaffrey to record 1,276.7 rushing yards
“Christian McCaffrey SF RB ... 266.0 1,276.7 10.6”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
924.82
skill:
0
what happened:
202
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
1276.7
statistic:
rushing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
1459
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
390.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Saquon Barkley Philadelphia EaglesSep 1, 2024
Saquon Barkley to record 6.7 rushing tds
“Saquon Barkley ... 1,174.1 6.7”
Miss · 3Scored 3.08a naive guess scored 0+6.15 skill
How this was scored
naive:
5.37
skill:
6.15
what happened:
13
player:
Saquon Barkley
season:
2024
accuracy:
3.08
baseline:
0
predicted:
6.7
statistic:
rushing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
6
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
4.74
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Anthony Richardson Indianapolis ColtsSep 1, 2024
Anthony Richardson to record 3,350.4 passing yards
“Anthony Richardson ... 3,350.4”
Miss · 8Scored 8.29a naive guess scored 24.99-33.4 skill
How this was scored
naive:
1133.62
skill:
-33.4
what happened:
1814
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2024
accuracy:
8.29
baseline:
24.99
predicted:
3350.4
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
577
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1690.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Derrick Henry Baltimore RavensSep 1, 2024
Derrick Henry to record 11.6 rushing tds
“Derrick Henry ... 1,163.1 11.6”
Close · 45Scored 45a naive guess scored 4.61+80.78 skill
How this was scored
naive:
8.37
skill:
80.78
what happened:
16
player:
Derrick Henry
season:
2024
accuracy:
45
baseline:
4.61
predicted:
11.6
statistic:
rushing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
12
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
4.74
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Lamar Jackson Baltimore RavensSep 1, 2024
Lamar Jackson to record 3,630.2 passing yards
“Lamar Jackson ... 3,630.2”
Close · 74Scored 74.03a naive guess scored 28.67+90.71 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2684.12
skill:
90.71
what happened:
4172
player:
Lamar Jackson
season:
2024
accuracy:
74.03
baseline:
28.67
predicted:
3630.2
statistic:
passing_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
3678
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
1690.24
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers CeeDee Lamb Dallas CowboysSep 1, 2024
CeeDee Lamb to record 126.4 receptions
“CeeDee Lamb DAL WR ... 181.9 126.4 1,643.1 10.7”
Close · 60Scored 59.81a naive guess scored 63.97-8.32 skill
How this was scored
naive:
82.8
skill:
-8.32
what happened:
101
player:
CeeDee Lamb
season:
2024
accuracy:
59.81
baseline:
63.97
predicted:
126.4
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
135
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
30.61
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?

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