Richard Sherman
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
96.97% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 20
“Obviously they get this win. I think the winner of this game wins the Super Bowl.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I got the New England Patriots winning this game twenty one to fifteen.”
Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 47.69+45.17 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 10-7
- skill:
- 45.17
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 6
“Matthew Stafford the MVP of the league this year is what I'm assuming he's gonna be named at some point.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Jonathan Taylor should be the NFL Player of the Year, the most valuable Player, whatever you want to say, because of how he's playing.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
“The Seattle Seahawks will be the number one spot this week in my power rankings... because number two is going to the Philadelphia Eagles... Number three, I got the Rams. Number four, the New England Patriots... and number five with an MVPAK candidate in the backfield, the Indianapolis Coats.”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 30+43.2 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 43.2
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 30
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 8
“The Packers have the Giants. That should be a win for them, especially with Jackson Dart potentially out with that concussion.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 27-20
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- The guest says Sam Darnold is playing at a first-team All-Pro level while leading an elite team.Oct 24, 2025
“Sam Donald looking like first team All Pro two as well and playing on and leading an elite team to this.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- made:
- false
- naive:
- he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
- skill:
- -161
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- selection:
- all_pro_first_team
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
“Unfortunately, he'll be Offensive Player of the Year because that's that's the standard deal there.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
“But but I know the Chief's gonna be in there. If the Chiefs ain't in there, everybody runs it, then color me surprised.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 11
“one would have to be buff. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers understanding for me... So I'm puting y'all at three, But I'm gonna put the Indianapolis Colt said, too low key... I think Seattle, with what they've been doing”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 30-50.1 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50.1
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 30
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 12
“Makes him an MVP candidate, likely Offensive Player of the Year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Christian McCaffrey, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Saquon Barkley
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I wouldn't go into the season without Sam Donald because that's a known commodity, especially within this system.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+8.33 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 8.33
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“and if it, you know, with everything being said, he should be gone within the top five picks”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Shador Sanders
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- gone within the top five picks (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
“The Dak Prescott is going to be the quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys for the foreseeable future.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DAL
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Dak Prescott
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Pratt Certannel it might be the defensive player of the year this season... That's pretty awesome, and it couldn't happen to a better guy. I think he deserves it.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Myles Garrett, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Pat Surtain II
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Pat Surtain II
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“they have good Jared Verst will probably be up for a Defensive Rookie of the Year... I think he'll be in the top three if he doesn't win it”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Will Anderson Jr., who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jared Verse
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Jared Verse
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“Well, Kansas City Chiefs go one, your Detroit Lions two. Three would have to be Baltimore Ravens. I'm gonna go Baltimore at three, I'm gonna go Buffalo at four, and I'm gonna go Philadelphia Eagles at five”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 35+40 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 40
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 35
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I just don't think bone Knicks will play well enough to beat Josh Allen in Buffalo... But I just don't see Josh Allen losing this football game.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“I think it's Lamar Jackson's MVP. I think the numbers he put up right now are historic.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
“and that's why Kevin O'Connor will likely get it”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Kevin O'Connor
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin Stefanski, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Kevin O'Connell
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0