Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Richard Sherman· Jan 16, 2026

Sherman refused to pick the 49ers-Seahawks divisional game, calling it a pick'em that comes down to the last possession, but he picked Chicago over the Rams, Denver over Buffalo, and Houston 17-9 over New England, while reaffirming his preseason call of the Broncos reaching the Super Bowl.

“I got the Denver Broncos sneaking by with a win.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 63.5 out of 100, against 58.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Conference ChampionsDenver BroncosJan 16, 2026

    Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl

    “Keep in mind you do have the Denver Broncos in the Super Bowl coming into this, that was your prediction. / Yeah, I was hoping they wouldn't get this matchup... So I gotta go with the Denver Broncos.”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsHouston TexansJan 16, 2026

    Houston Texans 17 — New England Patriots 9

    “Maybe a turnover here stopping the red seventeen to nine Houston.”

    Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 76.26-35.78 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    16-28
    skill:
    -35.78
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    76.26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosJan 16, 2026

    Denver Broncos to beat Buffalo Bills

    “So I gotta go with the Denver Broncos... got the Denver Broncos sneaking by with a win.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    30-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.