Richard Sherman · Jan 16, 2026
Sherman refused to pick the 49ers-Seahawks divisional game, calling it a pick'em that comes down to the last possession, but he picked Chicago over the Rams, Denver over Buffalo, and Houston 17-9 over New England, while reaffirming his preseason call of the Broncos reaching the Super Bowl.
“I got the Denver Broncos sneaking by with a win.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansJan 16, 2026
“Maybe a turnover here stopping the red seventeen to nine Houston.”
Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 76.26-35.78 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- -35.78
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 40.48
- baseline:
- 76.26
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosJan 16, 2026
“So I gotta go with the Denver Broncos... got the Denver Broncos sneaking by with a win.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 16, 2026
“I got Chicago, no kidding... Richard Sherman has Chicago to advance to the NFC Championship Game.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsDenver BroncosJan 16, 2026
“Keep in mind you do have the Denver Broncos in the Super Bowl coming into this, that was your prediction. / Yeah, I was hoping they wouldn't get this matchup... So I gotta go with the Denver Broncos.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.