Richard Sherman· Feb 3, 2026
Sherman picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 24-10 in the Super Bowl, with Sam Darnold winning game MVP, and he also expects Matthew Stafford to be named league MVP and Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year.
“the Seattle Seahawks walk away with a decisive victory twenty four to ten over the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 3 award picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 79 out of 100, against 3.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Award PicksMatthew StaffordLos Angeles RamsFeb 3, 2026
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
“the fact that he had to go against the MVP of the league this year, which I'm assuming in Matthew Stafford”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
“He's been fantastic. He's probably Offensive Player of the Year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksFeb 3, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 24 — New England Patriots 10
“the Seattle Seahawks walk away with a decisive victory twenty four to ten over the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 16.73+78.5 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 29-13
- skill:
- 78.5
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 16.73
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 14
- Super Bowl PicksSeattle SeahawksFeb 3, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
“I got the Seahawks winning this game... I expect them to win this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksSam DarnoldSeattle SeahawksFeb 3, 2026
Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP
“MVP of this game... No, it's gonna go to Sam Donald Mentell, Sam Darnald the guy”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Jeremy BrenerRoster Spot Calls · Cooper KuppHit · 100Brener projects Seattle's wide receiver room to include Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, Rashid Shaheed, Tory Horton, Jake Bobo and rookie Emmanuel Henderson Jr. on the 53-man roster, leaving Montorie Foster Jr. fighting for a spot despite a strong camp and preseason showing.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · C.J. DanielsHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Blaine GrisakRoster Spot Calls · Wesley BaileyMiss · 0Grisak argues Wesley Bailey has essentially played his way onto the Rams' roster after a 10-pressure preseason game, suggests Dean Connors and Tim Keenan III could be cut and stashed on the practice squad, and makes a case for Jarquez Hunter making the 53 despite bubble status.
- Michael HanichRoster Spot Calls · Rodney ThomasHit · 100Hanich projects Seattle's updated safety and nickel depth charts after Bud Clark's injury, naming Julian Love and Ty Okada as starting safeties, A.J. Finley as Love's backup, and laying out a nickel pecking order with Devon Witherspoon first, Noah Igbinoghene third and Nehemiah Pritchett behind him. He also predicts roster outcomes for D'Anthony Bell, Rodney Thomas and Andre Fuller.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Xavier SmithHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies.
- Shannon SharpeRoster Spot Calls · Jalen MilroeHit · 100Sharpe expects Drew Lock to be Seattle's clear No. 2 quarterback, with Jaylen Milroe kept and Mitchell Trubisky released; he also predicts Shedeur Sanders will be named the Browns' starter and Deshaun Watson eventually released, and says Cleveland won't win the Super Bowl.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Gregg RosenthalAward Picks · Tristan WirfsMiss · 0Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker.
- Jourdan RodrigueAward Picks · Penei SewellMiss · 0Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year.
- Brandon SneideAward Picks · Drake MayeMiss · 0Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.
- Eric ManginiAward Picks · Drake MayeMiss · 0Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP.
- Chris BroussardAward Picks · Drake MayeMiss · 0Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP.
- Rich EisenAward Picks · Josh AllenHit · 100Eisen reaffirms his pick of the Rams to win the NFC West despite Seattle's current lead, expects Buffalo to land as the 2 or 3 seed in the AFC, names Josh Allen as his MVP with Sam Darnold finishing top five, floats the Saints picking in the teens, and calls Puka Nacua possibly the best receiver in the league.