Tom Strachan Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

Tom Strachan

Tom Strachan writes fantasy football analysis for FantasyPros and has appeared on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. His work focuses on draft strategy and sleeper picks, with particular attention to mock drafts and positional rankings across the NFL.

Writes at FantasyPros

Every take from Tom Strachan, including the ones still waiting →

Is Tom Strachan accurate? Across 24 graded calls in 4 articles, Tom Strachan scores 64.49% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 31.32, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

64.49%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

31.32

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 4 articles. 83 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 24

In his Week 1 start/sit column, Strachan flags four players as risky starts — Carnell Tate, Kyle Pitts, Quinshon Judkins and Rashee Rice — and three as safe starts — Javonte Williams, Ashton Jeanty and Chris Olave. He also suggests the Raiders will open with a home win over Miami.Sep 9, 2026
- Las Vegas Raiders to beat Miami Dolphins
  “Miami's defense is likely to struggle again this season, and the Raiders should feel good about starting their season at home with a positive result.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LV
  score:
  13-27
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LV
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  LV
  difficulty:

Tom Strachan offered his own 2026 free-agent landing spots, sending Aaron Rodgers to Arizona, Malik Willis to Pittsburgh, Alec Pierce to Seattle, Mike Evans to Baltimore, Deebo Samuel to Carolina, Kenneth Walker to Houston, Breece Hall to Washington, Kyle Pitts to Philadelphia and Dallas Goedert to Miami, while keeping Daniel Jones and Javonte Williams with their current teams.5 graded calls · Feb 14, 2026

Dallas Goedert to record 5 receiving tds
“You're pretty much guaranteed to get kind of five hundred yards and five touchdowns per year out of him”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
2.53
skill:
0
what happened:
11
player:
Dallas Goedert
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
5
statistic:
receiving_tds
difficulty:
1
last season:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
position average:
3.07
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Goedert to record 500 receiving yards
“You're pretty much guaranteed to get kind of five hundred yards and five touchdowns per year out of him”
Close · 69Scored 69.2a naive guess scored 24.58+44.62 skill
How this was scored
naive:
368.14
skill:
44.62
what happened:
591
player:
Dallas Goedert
season:
2025
accuracy:
69.2
baseline:
24.58
predicted:
500
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
1
last season:
496
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
position average:
240.27
zero at percent out:
50
Joe Mixon to make the roster
“they could save eight million dollars by cutting Joe Mixon... I think Joe Mix and his toast”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
club:
HOU
skill:
-100
player:
47cc7e4b-b8f2-41c9-9be3-f43063df4aec
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
0
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Mike Evans to move to Baltimore Ravens
“This would not be the first veteran signing for the Baltimore Ravens... So get Mike Evans in there”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Mike Evans
season:
2026
claimed:
BAL
was with:
TB
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
SF
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Romeo Doubs to move to Miami Dolphins
“We keep making the Green Bay links to Miami. Why not put him there and be the wide receiver Two to waddle?”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Romeo Doubs
season:
2026
claimed:
MIA
was with:
GB
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
NE
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Strachan's favorite pick per round: Ja'Marr Chase at 1.01, Brock Bowers in round two, Jayden Daniels in round three, Davante Adams (double-digit TDs) in round four, then Xavier Worthy, Calvin Ridley, Jaylen Warren, Emeka Egbuka, Justin Fields, Zach Charbonnet and late-round fliers; his one player to leave every draft with is Tucker Kraft.15 graded calls · Aug 23, 2025

Davante Adams to record 10 receiving tds
“And I wouldn't be surprised at all if he hit double digit touchdowns this year.”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 0+85.71 skill
How this was scored
naive:
5.7
skill:
85.71
what happened:
14
player:
Davante Adams
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
0
predicted:
10
statistic:
receiving_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
8
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
3.4
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (round six)
“Kevin Ridley's been my go all off season. I think he's just been undervalued compared away should be.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round six
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Calvin Ridley
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR25
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR112
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
rounds eleven through fifteen
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
200
player:
Colston Loveland
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
TE
had to beat:
TE12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
TE9
weeks left when called:
Justin Fields to outplay his draft cost (round nine)
“if you're looking for a massive upside swing at quarterback, Justin Fields, it's hard to go past him”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round nine
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Justin Fields
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
QB
had to beat:
QB31
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
QB28
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Jayden Daniels to outplay his draft cost (round three)
“But I went with Jane Daniel. And it's more because I think that there's still some meat left on the bone there.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round three
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Jayden Daniels
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
QB
had to beat:
QB5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
QB34
weeks left when called:
18
Austin Ekeler to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
rounds eleven through fifteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Austin Ekeler
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB36
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB103
weeks left when called:
18
Jaylen Warren to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine in real time ADP)
“My guy is Jalen Warren. I'll be twenty nine in real time ADP... it's very easy to buy into what Jalen Warren brings.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
RB twenty nine in real time ADP
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Jaylen Warren
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB17
weeks left when called:
18
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (round five)
“Xavier Worvy. I just think that it's all setting up to be another good season for Xavier Worvy... I'd be comfortable pushing him even a couple of picks higher”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round five
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Xavier Worthy
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR32
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR59
weeks left when called:
18
Davante Adams to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver eighteen overall)
“It's Stevane Adams wide receiver eighteen overall, and I would have taken him in in round three.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
wide receiver eighteen overall
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Davante Adams
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR7
weeks left when called:
18
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (outside of the top twelve tight ends)
“Took a Craft like just such a good player, and I can't understand why he's going outside of the top twelve tight ends.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
outside of the top twelve tight ends
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Tucker Kraft
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
TE
had to beat:
TE7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
TE17
weeks left when called:
18
Zach Charbonnet to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty five)
“It's Zach Charboney... Charbone at cost RB thirty five... he is a really good player”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
RB thirty five
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Zach Charbonnet
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB25
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB20
weeks left when called:
18
measured against:
Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
rounds eleven through fifteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Wan'Dale Robinson
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
WR
had to beat:
WR53
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
WR22
weeks left when called:
18
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (round two)
“Round two is so stacked this year... but brock Bauers... I thought brock Powers was going to be firmly part of round one”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
round two
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
-200
player:
Brock Bowers
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
TE
had to beat:
TE2
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
TE8
weeks left when called:
18
Cam Ward to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
rounds eleven through fifteen
naive:
a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
skill:
-200
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
position:
QB
had to beat:
QB12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
QB22
weeks left when called:
Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)
“Yes, Colston Loveland, Austin Eckler, then Tyler L. G. Cam Ward and I've a missed one'm one Dale Robinson”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
call:
sleeper
cost:
rounds eleven through fifteen
naive:
he repeats last season
skill:
200
player:
Tyler Allgeier
season:
2025
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
had to beat:
RB38
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual finish:
RB35
weeks left when called:
18