Nick Shook· Jun 23, 2025
In a 20-pick draft of the best running backs for 2025, Nick Shook used his ten selections (overall picks 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19) on Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, De'Von Achane and David Montgomery. He also predicted Derrick Henry would top 1,000 rushing yards again as Baltimore's bell cow.
“I'm going with sa Kwan Barkley, simple as that.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 player season number and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 61.8 out of 100, against 64.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsDerrick HenryBaltimore RavensJun 23, 2025
Derrick Henry to be 1st on the depth chart
“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Derrick Henry to record 1,000 rushing yards
“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
Miss · 25Scored 25.39a naive guess scored 44.19-37.59 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 1149.89
- skill:
- -37.59
- what happened:
- 1595
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 25.39
- baseline:
- 44.19
- predicted:
- 1000
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 1921
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 378.78
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Top Player ListsJun 23, 2025
“Nick Shook's picks in the running back draft: 1st Saquon Barkley, 3rd Derrick Henry, 5th Josh Jacobs, 7th Christian McCaffrey, 9th James Cook, 11th Jonathan Taylor, 13th Alvin Kamara, 15th Joe Mixon, 17th De'Von Achane, 19th David Montgomery.”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 50+20 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 20
- placed:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 10
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 9: 60
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensMiss · 36Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.
- John HendricksScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 48John Hendricks picked Baltimore to win 23-17, predicted Derrick Henry would score two touchdowns, called for Devon Vale's first career 100-yard receiving game, and bought Chris Olave topping 1,300 receiving yards.
- Darrion GrayScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 48Darion Gray picked the Ravens to beat the Saints 28-20 and predicted Chris Olave would post a second straight 100-yard receiving game.
- Lance MooreScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 43Lance Moore predicted the Saints would again score around 30 points but lose a high-scoring game in Baltimore, 35-31. He also bought Chris Olave going over 1,300 receiving yards in 2026, said Zay Flowers would play until officially ruled out, and suggested the Titans would be a roughly two-win team.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 50Dubin gives winners and scores for the same seven games, favoring the Bills, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Broncos, Chiefs and Rams, though he expects several of them to stay close.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensClose · 43Dajani picks winners and exact scores for seven Week 2 games, taking the Bills over the Lions in a shootout, the Patriots narrowly over the Steelers, the Ravens over the Saints, the Texans over the Bengals, the Jaguars upsetting the Broncos, the Chiefs over the Colts and the Rams over the Giants.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.
- Bradley LockerDepth Chart Calls · Carson WentzHit · 100PFF's unsigned adjusted power rankings after Week 1 of the 2026 season place the Bills first, the Rams second and the Dolphins last, with notes on quarterback situations in Seattle, Minnesota and Cleveland.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Miss · 0In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners.
- Bill HuberDepth Chart Calls · Chris McClellanMiss · 0Huber's first Packers rookie progress report projects second-round cornerback Brandon Cisse to hold onto his spot with the No. 1 defense, third-round defensive tackle Chris McClellan to start in Week 1, and fifth-round lineman Jager Burton to be the team's top interior backup rather than a starter.