David Harrison· Apr 6, 2026
In a mock draft, Harrison has the Commanders trade up to No. 4 (from Tennessee) and select Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles, followed by picks of Davison Igbonosin, Dijon Stribling, Jagger Burton, Armaje Reed Adams, VJ Payne and Roman Hemby. He also projects the Giants taking Caleb Downs at No. 3 and the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at No. 7.
“we do get Sonny Styles at number four for the Washington commanders at a better price than we paid to get him at number three.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
11 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
9 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 49.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
11 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 71
“Number 71, Davison Igmanosin, cornerback out of Ohio State”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.86
- player:
- Davison Igbinosun
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 62
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 71
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.86
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“we do get Sonny Styles at number four for the Washington commanders”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.86
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.86
Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 187
“Number one eighty seven, Armaaj Armage Reed, Adams, guard out of Texas a and m”
Miss · 10Scored 9.64 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.86
- player:
- Ar'maj Reed-Adams
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 9.64
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 241
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 9.64
- predicted pick:
- 187
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.86
De'Zhaun Stribling to be picked at number 101
“They're number one zero one, which we also get from Tennessee. ... Dijon Stripling, wide receiver out of Ole Miss”
Miss · 5Scored 5.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 42.86
- player:
- De'Zhaun Stribling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 5.26
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 33
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 5.26
- predicted pick:
- 101
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 92.86
Victor Payne to be picked at number 209
“number two zero nine, BJ Payne, safety out of Kansas State”
Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 90 against a shuffle’s 50+40 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Victor Payne
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 228
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 209
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
Jager Burton to be picked at number 147
“Number one forty seven, Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Jager Burton
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 153
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 147
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223
“the number two twenty three, Roman Hemby, running back out of Indiana”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Roman Hemby
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with LV
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 223
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York GiantsApr 6, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 3
“The Giants do go Caleb Downs in the mock draft that we ran here.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7
“the Tennessee titans, they get Jeremiah Love, who I think they're gonna take a number four, at number seven”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 75 against a shuffle’s 50+25 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
Dexter Lawrence to move to Washington Commanders
“Do not believe in any way, shape, or form the Giants would be interested in trading him in the division, however. So, commanders trade not likely”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Team Draft Slot CallsWashington CommandersApr 6, 2026
Washington Commanders to pick at number 4
“the Washington players get number four, and they end up getting number 101”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanRoster Spot Calls · Jake HaenerMiss · 0Sullivan expects the Giants, thin at quarterback after Jaxson Dart's season-ending knee injury, to elevate Jake Haener from the practice squad for Week 3.
- Patricia TrainaRoster Spot Calls · Paulson AdeboHit · 100Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Ar'maj Reed-AdamsMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
- Bob FolgerRoster Spot Calls · Zaire BarnesHit · 100Reviewing the Giants' defense and special teams in the preseason game against Miami, Folger states he has little doubt linebacker Zaire Barnes will make the roster, largely on the strength of his special teams play.
- Patricia TrainaRoster Spot Calls · Braxton BerriosMiss · 0Traina projects the Giants' Week 1 inactive list: Darius Slayton, Thomas Fidone II, Tyrone Tracy Jr., Elijah Campbell, J.C. Davis and Bobby Jamison-Travis, with Braxton Berrios elevated from the practice squad.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Luke McCaffreyHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.