Jeff Cavanaugh· Mar 1, 2026
Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
“I think his draft range is around the Cowboys pick, somewhere around 20 to 35.”
said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 50.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall picknot gonna go in the top 50 (picks 1–50)They said
172What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksLorenzo StylesMar 1, 2026
Lorenzo Styles to be picked “not gonna go in the top 50” (picks 1–50)
“Sonny Styles' brother is not gonna go in the top 50. It's not gonna happen.”
Miss · 1Scored 0.51a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Lorenzo Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.51
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 172
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.51
- predicted pick:
- not gonna go in the top 50 (picks 1–50)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksA.J. HaulcyMar 1, 2026
A.J. Haulcy to be picked “a second round pick to get him, maybe even a third” (picks 33–100)
“I like AJ Halsey, LSU safety. I need a second round pick to get him, maybe even a third if the league will let me.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- A.J. Haulcy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 78
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- a second round pick to get him, maybe even a third (picks 33–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksDillon ThienemanMar 1, 2026
Dillon Thieneman to be picked “somewhere around 20 to 35”
“I'm not gonna say negative things about Dylan DeEineman, but I think his draft range is around the Cowboys pick, somewhere around 20 to 35.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Mike MoraitisRoster Spot Calls · Dillon ThienemanHit · 100Moraitis says Coby Bryant, Dillon Thieneman, Elijah Hicks and Cam Lewis are locks to make the Bears' 53-man roster, and that newly signed safety Xavier Woods has a chance to stick given Chicago's secondary injuries.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 57Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesClose · 65In a post-combine seven-round Saints mock draft, Ross Jackson has New Orleans taking Notre Dame RB Jeremiah Love at No. 8, Louisville WR Chris Bell at 42, UCF edge Malachi Lawrence at 73, then Jalen Kilgore and Jalen Farmer in the fourth, Bryce Boecher and Bryce Lance in the fifth, and Lorenzo Styles Jr. in the sixth. He also projects Fernando Mendoza at No. 1 overall, Texas Tech edge David Bailey inside the top 10 and Morgan Freleng as a possible top-10 offensive lineman.
- Jaime EisnerMock Draft Picks · A.J. HaulcyClose · 62A seven-round Raiders mock draft projecting Fernando Mendoza first overall to Las Vegas and nine additional picks, including Denzel Boston in Round 2 and A.J. Haulcy in Round 3.
- Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 74Danny Parkins presented his one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.
- Nick WrightMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 57Nick Wright unveiled his full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. He also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.