Nick Shook · Apr 9, 2026

Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.

“We went with Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey and I think about the history of the Jets when I made this selection.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

36 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“you wrap up the draft at thirty two with Brandon Sisay, the South Carolina cornerback... they just lost Reek Woollan to free agency”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Brandon Sisay
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“The Bucks are up next at fifteen, and you haven't taken a key messador from Miami.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Key Messador
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“I wouldn't have been surprised though, if you had put Dylan Theeneman to the Bengals at twelve. At ten instead he goes to the Cowboys.”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Dylan Theeneman
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“you keep the tackle run going. With Max Ianachra from Arizona State... Ianacher with the Browns”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Max Ianachra
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Patriots at thirty one, take Clemson edge TJ. Parker”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“The Dolphins take Colton Hood, the Tennessee cornerback, at thirty”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Colton Hood
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
37
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Position Order CallsApr 9, 2026
“He would be the first offensive lineman off the board in your draft, and a guard”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
player:
vega IONI
season:
2026
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
position:
offensive lineman
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
undrafted
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“at number two to the Jets... We went with Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Now you have styles going to the Giants... they will have an opportunity at five to add to that defense”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“There wasn't much to talk about with the number one overall pick. Yeah, from Nando Mendoza going to the Raiders”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Nando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“You have Jordan Tyson, the Arizona state wide receiver, falling all the way to twenty six... So if Tyson falls to this point for them in the draft”
Scored 45.85 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
45.85
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
45.85
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“you had Caleb Lomu the tackle going to the Texans at twenty eight”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Instead you have him taking a cornerback Jermad McCoy from Tennessee”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Jermad McCoy
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Caden Proctor from Alabama to the Bears... I think at twenty five that's really good value on Proctor”
Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“You have them going to the Titans... that's at number four, so your Reese falls to them”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“that's why he's worthy of the sixth overall pick in this draft... Carnell Tate, you have going to the Browns”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“You went wild Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals at three. The Notre Dame running back”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“You keep the Ohio State train going at number seven. It's Caleb Downs... the Commanders going with Caleb Downs”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Bain ends up going the next pick... But New Orleans still hasn't resigned Cam Jordan... I think there's eight really standout players in this draft, and you took him in the top eight in a row”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“and then Avian Terrell, AJ's brother, the Clemson cornerback, going to the Cowboys”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Avian Terrell
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Blake Miller from Clemson. You know the Eagles... find their replacement potentially for Lane Johnson here”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Blake Miller
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with DET
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“The Chargers are up next. You have them taking another wide receiver Omar Cooper... That's why it fits here, I think at twenty two.”
Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Omar Cooper
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“come back with the Chiefs on the clock at number nine... So they get the best corner in the draft in Mansor Delaine”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Man Sewer Delaine
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“The Ravens, you know, start what's going to be a run of tackles with Spencer Fano”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“You have the Rams up next at thirteen, taking Francis Mauiinoa from Miami”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Francis Mauiinoa
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“So maybe that's why the Steelers. You have another tackle off the board, Monroe Freeling.”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“the forty nine ers you have. Taking Keldrick Falk kind of a divisive prospect”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“if we're recapping the sixteenth to twenty picks, you had Lemon to the Jets... Makai Lemon out of usc”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Lee Hunter from Texas Tech going to the Panthers”
Scored 27.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Lee Hunter
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
27.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
49
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
27.26
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“The Casius Howell pick to the Lions at seventeen”
Scored 35.36 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Cashius Howell
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
35.36
baseline:
50
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
35.36
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Minnesota taking Emmanuel McNeil warren the safety from Toledo”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.35 against a shuffle’s 50+32.35 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
32.35
player:
Emmanuel McNeil Warren
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
82.35
Think this is wrong?
Position Order CallsApr 9, 2026
“So they get the first tackle off the board. Excellent value, excellent need.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“Did you consider taking Kenyan Sadik the tight end for the Texans at twenty eight instead he goes to the Chiefs”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Position Order CallsApr 9, 2026
“the second one they spend on Lemon because I felt Lemon was the next best receiver in this class”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Position Order CallsApr 9, 2026
“Carnell Tate, you have going to the Browns and the Ohio state wide receiver, first receiver off the board”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 9, 2026
“we'll fly through vega IONI to the Dolphins. That would be a statement of an intent type of pick. Penn State guard”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?