Colin Cowherd· Feb 7, 2025
Cowherd picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in Super Bowl 59 by a field goal, 30-27, in a close, high-scoring game, and gives the Chiefs edges at head coach, quarterback, tight end, defensive front seven, secondary and kicker while giving the Eagles edges at running back, wide receiver and offensive line. He also predicts Travis Kelce retires if the Chiefs win, Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota with the Raiders in play, and Shedeur Sanders slides in the draft.
“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
15 checkable claims — 7 position group rankings, 2 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 mock draft pick, 1 score prediction, 1 super bowl pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 46 out of 100, against 57.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“I think the Raiders are in play, usc Pete Carroll. If the money is right, I think the Raiders are in play.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- LV
- was with:
- MIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- SEA
- weeks left when called:
- 18
DeVonta Smith to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Davante may be the most talented number two receiver he and t Higgins in the NFL.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- DeVonta Smith
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
A.J. Brown to finish top 4 at his position, by passing yards
“AJ Brown is a top three to four receiver in the league.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 33.33-33.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -33.33
- player:
- A.J. Brown
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 66
- actual finish:
- 58
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 4
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Philadelphia 27
“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”
Miss · 14Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 62.56-48.28 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-40
- skill:
- -48.28
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 14.29
- baseline:
- 62.56
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
Patrick Mahomes to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
“which quarterback you love the most passing yards in the second half... I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 91.67-41.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -41.67
- player:
- Patrick Mahomes
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- HOU
- unit:
- defensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- DET
- unit:
- wide_receiver
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- SF
- unit:
- tight_end
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- BAL
- unit:
- running_back
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- BUF
- unit:
- offensive_line
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Super Bowl PicksKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
“So here is my pick for the Philadelphia Kansas City Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus one and a half. I like Kansas City and here's why.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- champion:
- PHI
- runner up:
- KC
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Group RankingsKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
“let's go to special teams and the kicker... this is an easy one. If it comes down to field goals, Kansas City is gonna win going away. Harrison, Butker”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Position Group RankingsKansas City ChiefsFeb 7, 2025
“So I think Kansas City's secondary will play better than Philadelphia's”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersFeb 7, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drops”
“I think Shador Sanders drops.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“I can see Pete Carroll saying, listen, we're gonna give shaduor the controls for a year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Maximus PulleyMiss · 0Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
- Steven RuizTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud.
- Diante LeeTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100A Ringer post-draft power ranking of all 32 teams for the 2026 season, ranked by how much the writer would trust each team to win the Super Bowl, with Denver picked to win the AFC, Detroit projected among the NFC's four best, and win-total calls on Pittsburgh and Miami.
- Fernando Alfaro-DonisTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option.
- Scott BogmanTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Bogman laid out fades on Malik Nabers (knee), Kenneth Walker, Bhayshul Tuten, Christian Watson, Jackson Dart and Sam LaPorta, while liking Isaiah Likely and staying more positive on DJ Moore; he also gave his top-seven tight end board and expected Tuten to lead Jacksonville's backfield.
- Brandon CarneyTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP.
More position group rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich EisenPosition Group RankingsClose · 75Eisen ranked his top five defenses remaining in the NFL playoffs, with the Texans first, Seahawks second, Broncos third, Bills fourth and Rams fifth.
- Gregg RosenthalPosition Group RankingsClose · 75In a snake draft of the NFL's best position groups, Rosenthal took the Eagles' tackles as the No. 1 group in the league, followed by the Steelers' edge rushers, Bengals receivers, Texans corners, Lions safeties, Rams defensive tackles, Broncos corners, Chiefs quarterbacks, Patriots corners and Seahawks defensive tackles. He also rated Ja'Marr Chase a top-two receiver and A.J. Brown a top-five receiver.
- Nick ShookPosition Group RankingsMiss · 0Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. He also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers.
- Brandon GrahamPosition Group RankingsMiss · 0Graham ranked his top five wide receiver duos with the Eagles first, and predicted Philadelphia returns to the Super Bowl, the Rams make the playoffs again, and picked the Commanders' duo over the Cowboys' new pairing.
- Kyle BrandtPosition Group RankingsClose · 40Kyle Brandt ranked his top five NFL wide receiver duos, deliberately excluding newly formed pairings, with Cincinnati first and Tampa Bay fifth.
- Jamie ErdahlPosition Group Rankings · Los Angeles RamsHit · 80Erdahl ranked her top five wide receiver duos, putting Philadelphia first, Detroit above Minnesota, and Cincinnati fifth.