Colin Cowherd · Feb 7, 2025

Cowherd picks Kansas City to beat Philadelphia in Super Bowl 59 by a field goal, 30-27, in a close, high-scoring game, and gives the Chiefs edges at head coach, quarterback, tight end, defensive front seven, secondary and kicker while giving the Eagles edges at running back, wide receiver and offensive line. He also predicts Travis Kelce retires if the Chiefs win, Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota with the Raiders in play, and Shedeur Sanders slides in the draft.

“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

16 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Depth Chart CallsFeb 7, 2025
“Davante may be the most talented number two receiver he and t Higgins in the NFL.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
0
player:
DeVonta Smith
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1
measured by:
receptions
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesFeb 7, 2025
“AJ Brown is a top three to four receiver in the league.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 33.33-33.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-33.33
player:
A.J. Brown
season:
2024
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
33.33
position:
WR
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
1
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
66
actual finish:
58
weeks left when called:
0
predicted finish:
4
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsFeb 7, 2025
“I like Kansas City thirty, Philadelphia twenty seven, Super Bowl fifty nine”
Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 62.56-48.28 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-40
skill:
-48.28
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
14.29
baseline:
62.56
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
18
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.28
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesFeb 7, 2025
“which quarterback you love the most passing yards in the second half... I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 91.67-41.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-41.67
player:
Patrick Mahomes
season:
2024
zero at:
12
accuracy:
50
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
1
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
6
actual finish:
7
weeks left when called:
0
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?
Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“We'll do the defensive front seven Chiefs or Eagles... I like Kansas City?”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
best:
HOU
unit:
defensive_line
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“wide receiver. Which group has the advantage The Chiefs with d hop Worthy in Hollywood Brown or the Eagles with AJ Brown DeVonta Smith... Philadelphia”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
best:
DET
unit:
wide_receiver
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“tight end Colin. Who you got the Chiefs with featuring Kelsey and Gray or the Eagles feature Goddart... I'll go Travis Kelsey”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
best:
SF
unit:
tight_end
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“running backs. Colin Chiefs are Eagles, the Chiefs by Committee or the near MVP SA quad mark easy one. Philadelphia”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
best:
BAL
unit:
running_back
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“Offensive line Chiefs are Eagles... You got I think Philadelphia.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
best:
BUF
unit:
offensive_line
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl PicksFeb 7, 2025
“So here is my pick for the Philadelphia Kansas City Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus one and a half. I like Kansas City and here's why.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2024
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
champion:
PHI
runner up:
KC
naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 7, 2025
“I think Shador Sanders drops.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“So I think Kansas City's secondary will play better than Philadelphia's”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Position Group RankingsFeb 7, 2025
“let's go to special teams and the kicker... this is an easy one. If it comes down to field goals, Kansas City is gonna win going away. Harrison, Butker”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Trade and Signing CallsFeb 7, 2025
“I think the Raiders are in play, usc Pete Carroll. If the money is right, I think the Raiders are in play.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Top Player ListsFeb 7, 2025
“I think Walter Payton's the best running back I've ever seen. Barry Sanders probably second.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsFeb 7, 2025
“I can see Pete Carroll saying, listen, we're gonna give shaduor the controls for a year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?